Padres vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Padres at Orioles

8:05 pm • Fox Sports 1

San Diego Padres

2-0

9 - 4

Baltimore Orioles

0-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.10	8-10
M.King			2.95	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 2-0	-1.5+145	o8.5-103	-115
Orioles 0-1	+1.5-175	u8.5-116	-105

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

July 27, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

SD -115

0.87u

SD -112

0.89u

SD -1.5+146

1.46u

Under 8.5-110

$2000.00

BAL +102

$50.00

SD +102

3.06u

D.Kremer u16.5 Outs-108

0.5u

Projection lands at 15.54 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -132 on Pinnacle giving us value at this number

Featured Insight
Padres have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this month -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Orioles have scored in at least three different innings in just 33% of their games this month -- tied for third lowest in MLB.

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The Padres are 15-12 (.556) after a road win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .456.

30% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 32% of Craig Kimbrel strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Jackson Merrill has struck out in 40% of PA's over the last two weeks -- sixth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Grayson Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 32% over the last two weeks -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an OPS of just .107 (38 PA's) with two-strikes this month (3 games) -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .479 -- 100th Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.5 MPH (263 batted balls) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	SD	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	SD -202
Jul 25th	@MIA	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8	BAL -207
Jul 24th	@MIA	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	MIA -136
Jul 23rd	@MIA	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -174
Jul 21st	@TEX	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +110

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	101	6.1	9	2
RS.Kolek, P	29	1.2	2	0
RL.Gillaspie, P	17	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-3	2	0	0
2B.Johnson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2B.Johnson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, DH	1-5	1	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	3-5	2	1	3
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	3-5	1	0	1
6J.Merrill, CF	1-3	1	0	2
7D.Peralta, RF	1-5	1	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-5	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	105	6	7	1
LC.Irvin, P	38	2	0	4
RB.Baker, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-3	1	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5H.Kjerstad, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	1-4	2	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	2-4	1	1	4
8C.Norby, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	1-4	0	0	0