Padres vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 1, 2024

Padres at Royals

12:10 am • SDPA

San Diego Padres

4-11

11 - 8

Kansas City Royals

10-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Wacha			3.35	13-8
D.Cease			3.47	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-11	-1.5	-1.5+124	o8+101	-135
Royals 10-6	u8.5	+1.5-148	u8-118	+114

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

June 01, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

KC +115

SD -0.5 (F5)-105

0.5u

J.Profar o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

Low line for Profar who is hitting .321 off righties this season, and has a really strong matchup vs Michael Wacha (h/t to Ballpark Pal). Wacha primarily throws changeup/four-seam fastball to lefties (combined more than 65%), and Profar is a combined 20/57 with 4 HR off the two pitches vs righties. Wacha is allowing lefties to hit .284 off him with an .828 OPS. Batting third today, and I also love the matchup for Arraez (lead off) and Cronenworth (clean up) which should help Profar’s RBI and run chances as well.

SD -1.5+125

1.88u

KC +1.5-142

$1420.00

KC +120

D.Cease o5.5 Ks-150

1.5u

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

Featured Insight
Padres have struck out just 17% __PresentPerfect_This Month__ -- lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 17% __PresentPerfect_This Month__ -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Royals have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Padres have scored in at least three different innings in just 30% of their games this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 7-20 (.259) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Hunter Renfroe is batting just .218 since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .209 (95-for-455) against Dylan Cease since last season -- tied for 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

MJ Melendez is batting just .190 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 13th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 41% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 30th	@MIN	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN +136
May 29th	@MIN	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	KC +112
May 28th	@MIN	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIN -135
May 27th	@MIN	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN +145
May 26th	@TB	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 8	TB +105

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	98	5.1	5	3
RJ.Estrada, P	2	0.2	0	0
LY.Matsui, P	16	1	0	0
LW.Peralta, P	15	1	2	0
RS.Kolek, P	24	0.2	0	5
RR.Suarez, P	6	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	4-5	3	2
2F.Tatis, RF	2-5	1	1
3J.Profar, LF	3-5	1	2
3J.Azocar, PR	0-0	0	0
3J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 2B	2-5	1	3
5M.Machado, 3B	2-5	1	1
6D.Peralta, DH	0-2	0	0
6D.Solano, PH	2-3	1	1
6D.Solano, DH	2-3	1	1
7J.Merrill, CF	2-5	1	1
8L.Campusano, C	0-4	0	0
9H.Kim, SS	1-3	2	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Wacha, P	78	5.1	2	2
LA.Zerpa, P	17	1.1	1	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	7	0.1	0	3
RJ.McArthur, P	18	0	0	4
RW.Klein, P	28	1	2	2
RN.Loftin, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	2-5	2	0	1
2B.Witt, SS	3-5	2	0	2
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	2-5	0	0	1
4S.Perez, C	1-3	0	0	0
4F.Fermin, C	1-1	0	0	2
5N.Velazquez, DH	1-4	1	1	2
6M.Melendez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Hampson, PH	1-2	1	0	0
7G.Hampson, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
8H.Renfroe, RF	2-4	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-3	2	0	0