Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2024

Phillies at Cardinals

11:45 pm • BSMW

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

0 - 3

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Gray			3.84	13-9
Z.Wheeler			2.57	16-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+127	o7.5+102	-140
Cardinals 0-0	+1.5-152	u7.5-122	+119

Tuesday 11:45 p.m.

April 09, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

STL +124

$62.00

Tailing Landon - don’t ride

PHI -130

1.3u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

Under 7.5-115

1.5u

S. Gray u4.5 Ks-150

1.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-136

1.1u

Z.Wheeler u1.5 BB-130

0.77u

S.Gray u4.5 Ks-142

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects -203 odds and 3.68 Ks and +EV of 7.15% with devig odds of -221 showing value

S.Gray u4.5 Ks-134

1.34u

S.Gray u4.5 Ks-120

1.2u

#tailing @AnthonyDabbundo & @Zerillo with Sonny expected to be capped at 65 pitches tonight

S.Gray u4.5 Ks-120

0.6u

#Tailing @Zerillo

S.Gray u4.5 Ks-125

0.31u

65 pitches. Bet365 has -120. Somehow prizepicks posted 5.5 and I would 🔨that

Over 7.5+100

Featured Insight
The Phillies scored in at least three different innings in 54% of their games last season -- fifth highest in MLB. Cardinals allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 59% of their games last season -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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Nick Castellanos has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Whit Merrifield has an OPS of just .683 since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .498 (412 PAs) since the 2022 season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

15 of Sonny Gray's breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2023 season -- tied for 5th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 90th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler located 44% of his pitches inside (277/624) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown fastballs 78% of the time (74/95) against right-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% -- 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .116 (23 Total Bases / 199 ABs) on sliders since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .404 -- 100th Percentile.

The Phillies are 23-17 (.575) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The Cardinals are just 4-82 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Phillies are 74-7 (.914) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Cardinals are just 18-43 (.295) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 8th	PHI	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	PHI -113
Apr 7th	MIA	L 3-10	-1.5 L	O 9	MIA -142
Apr 6th	MIA	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8	STL -148
Apr 4th	MIA	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8	STL -142
Apr 3rd	@SD	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	SD +132

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out
Drew Rom
P
Rom is out with biceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P		107	7	5	3
RR. Pinto, P		22	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-3	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0	0
4G.Stubbs, C	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	2-3	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	2-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9W.Merrifield, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9W.Merrifield, LF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Gray, P	64	5	5
LM.Liberatore, P	17	0.2	0
RA.Kittredge, P	21	0.2	2
LJ.Romero, P	34	1.2	4
RR.Helsley, P	14	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	0-4	0	0	1
2P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Contreras, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Gorman, 2B	2-4	1	1	1
6I.Herrera, C	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Burleson, RF	2-2	1	0	0
7M.Siani, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Siani, RF	0-0	0	0	0
8M.Winn, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9V.Scott, CF	0-2	0	0	1