Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 21, 2024

Phillies at Pirates

5:35 pm • NBCS-PH

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

6 - 0

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Gonzales			4.55	1-1
T.Phillips			6.87	4-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+125	o9-120	-122
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-150	u9+100	+102

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

July 21, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

B.Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases-110

1.1u

PIT +103

$500.00

PIT +1.5-155

$500.00

PIT +105

M.Gonzales u15.5 Outs-189

0.53u

would not play past -200

PHI -120

0.83u

T.Turner o1.5 Total Bases-120

PHI -115 (F5)

$50.00

PHI -122

0.82u

M.Gonzales u3.5 Ks+110

0.5u

PIT +124

PHI -143

Featured Insight
The Phillies have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games this month -- tied for second lowest in MLB. The Pirates have scored first in just 29% of their games this month -- tied for second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored 5.5 runs per game this month -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (14 games). The Phillies have allowed 5.9 runs per game this month -- third highest in MLB (13 games).

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The Pirates are 15-9 (.625) after a loss as underdogs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has averaged 79.5 MPH on changeups since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 85.4 -- second Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has struck out just 13% (111/848) of right-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	PHI	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT +138
Jul 19th	PHI	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 8	PIT +142
Jul 14th	@CWS	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT -163
Jul 13th	@CWS	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT -137
Jul 13th	@CWS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +142

Spencer Turnbull
P
Turnbull is out with back
Out

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RT.Phillips, P	85	6	3
RY.Marte, P	20	1	1
LJ.Alvarado, P	14	1	2
RJ.Ruiz, P	7	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	1	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-5	1	0	1
3B.Harper, 1B	1-5	0	0	1
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
5N.Castellanos, RF	2-5	1	1	1
6E.Sosa, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
7W.Wilson, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8G.Stubbs, C	2-3	1	0	1
9C.Pache, CF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gonzales, P	84	4.2	4	2
RD.Santana, P	17	1.1	2	0
RK.Nicolas, P	26	1	2	0
LJ.Fleming, P	41	2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
5R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Palacios, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Joe, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Bart, C	2-3	0	0	0