Pirates vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 1, 2024

Pirates at Astros

12:10 am • MLB Network

Pittsburgh Pirates

1-0

4 - 5

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Valdez			2.91	15-7
J.Woodford			10.80	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 1-0	+1.5	+1.5+100	o8.5+100	+195
Astros 0-2	u8	-1.5-120	u8.5-118	-238

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

August 01, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

HOU -0.5 (F5)-150

Over 8-115

0.87u

HOU -1.5-106

F.Valdez o18.5 Outs+150

Home Framber is rounding into form. He’s over in 5/L6 starts at home. And overall, he’s pitching to a 2.73 ERA / 3.37 xFIP since June 1st. He gets the Pirates who are both below avg vs lefties (98 wRC+ and a .709 OPS) and ground ball pitchers (.686 OPS) this season. Plus, the Pirates are 28th in wRAA versus both the sinker and curveball - Framber’s two main pitches. DLC in the lineup doesn’t move the needle either.

HOU -215

0.47u

HOU -1.5+100

PIT +190

0.5u

Bet to +175

HOU -210

0.5u

BP4

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 49% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Astros over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Astros right-handed hitters have struck out just 13% against LHP over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB. Pirates have a strikeout rate of just 15% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 31, 2024 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 31st	PIT	L 2-6	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -205
Jul 30th	PIT	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7	PIT +110
Jul 28th	LAD	L 2-6	-1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD -135
Jul 27th	LAD	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU -162
Jul 27th	LAD	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8	HOU -140

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Woodford, P	71	5	3	0
LJ.Beeks, P	9	0.2	1	1
RC.Holderman, P	7	0.1	0	1
RH.Stratton, P	12	1	0	0
RK.Nicolas, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-5	0	0	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Tellez, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
4B.De La Cruz, RF	2-4	1	0	0
5J.Bart, C	3-4	1	1	2
5J.Bae, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5Y.Grandal, C	0-0	0	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
7O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Triolo, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
9M.Taylor, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LF.Valdez, P	92	6	10	4
RB.Abreu, P	9	1	0	0
RR.Pressly, P	20	1	0	0
LJ.Hader, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, LF	0-4	1	0	0
4Y.Diaz, C	2-4	1	0	1
5J.Pena, SS	0-4	1	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
6M.Dubon, PH	1-1	1	1	2
6M.Dubon, 1B	1-1	1	1	2
7J.Meyers, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8V.Caratini, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Cabbage, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8T.Cabbage, DH	0-0	0	0	0
9C.McCormick, RF	0-1	1	0	0