Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 12, 2024

Pirates at Cardinals

11:45 pm • BSMW

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

2 - 4

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Gray			3.84	13-9
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-142	o8-115	+150
Cardinals 0-0	-1.5+120	u8-105	-180

Wednesday 11:45 p.m.

June 12, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

S.Gray o6.5 Ks-128

PIT u3.5-120

M.Winn o1.5 Total Bases+115

0.35u

STL -1.5+118

2.36u

M.Winn o0.5 HR+1000

0.1u

Over 8-120

0.75u

STL -160 (F5)

0.31u

Flat to -171

S.Gray o6.5 Ks-125

Back to the well with Gray. Over in 5/9 since being fully stretched out, with 6+ in 8/9. PIT 83 wRC+, .646 OPS, 25% K% vs righties the L2 weeks. And gray with a strong K history vs the “tougher” matchups in Reynolds, Hayes and McCutchen.

S.Gray o6.5 Ks-120

Over 7.5-115

0.55u

Bet to 8 (+100)

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Featured Insight
Cardinals right-handed hitters have struck out just 18% against LHP this season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Pirates have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs right-handed batters this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Cardinals are just 2-16 (.111) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

Oneil Cruz has an OPS of just .439 with two strikes this season -- 10th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .385 (138 PAs) with two strikes this season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 33% this season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) -- tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% -- 98th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 14% (15 SO in 108 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- third Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .312 (109 Total Bases / 349 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 -- 96th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (401/937) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 11th	PIT	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	PIT +124
Jun 9th	COL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	STL -173
Jun 8th	COL	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	COL -214
Jun 8th	COL	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8	STL -185
Jun 6th	COL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	COL -225

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	82	4	5	3
RC.Mlodzinski, P	33	2	3	1
RK.Nicolas, P	21	2	5	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4O.Cruz, SS	2-4	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
7E.Olivares, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	1
9H.Davis, C	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	84	7	9	1
RA.Kittredge, P	14	1	2	1
RR.Helsley, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	0-4	0	1
2A.Burleson, DH	0-4	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	1	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	3-4	1	1
5N.Gorman, 2B	0-4	0	0
6I.Herrera, C	3-4	1	0
6P.Pages, C	0-0	0	0
7B.Donovan, LF	2-3	1	1
8D.Carlson, RF	1-4	0	1
9M.Siani, CF	1-3	0	0