Pirates vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - May 31, 2023

Pirates at Giants

7:45 pm • NBCS-BA

Pittsburgh Pirates

11-9

9 - 4

San Francisco Giants

14-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 11-9	+1.5-202	o7.5-115	+102
Giants 14-5	-1.5+175	u7.5-105	-120

Wednesday 7:45 p.m.

May 31, 2023

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

M.Keller o6.5 Ks-111

PIT -110 (F5)

0.91u

@Zerillo

PIT +100

@Zerillo

M.Keller u6.5 Ks+105

Keller has been a strikeout machine this season and has cleared this in 6 straight games. His underlying metrics support his breakout as he’s throwing more 1st pitch strikes (65%), throwing it in the zone more (49%), and generating a 10% swinging strike rate. While the 10% swinging strike rate is a massive leap for Keller, it’s still not enough to support his current 11.14 K/9 rate. He has also benefited from a 20% called strike rate that will likely regress towards 17% going forward and I think a fair projection for him is a 9.2 K/9 rate going forward. I think this is a good time to sell high on his K rate as his K prop market is a bit inflated at the moment. Projecting this closer to -150

PIT +100

PIT -102

PIT -105 (F5)

0.5u

M.Keller o6.5 Ks-120

0.83u

PIT +105

1.05u

PIT +114 (F5)

0.57u

Bet to -101

PIT +0.5 (F5)-122

0.5u

Bet to -135 or add more ML

PIT +115

0.58u

Bet to +106

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The Giants are 7-5 (.583) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Giants are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Giants' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 31st	PIT	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -165
May 29th	PIT	W 14-4	-1.5 W	O 8	SF -138
May 28th	@MIL	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -128
May 27th	@MIL	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	SF -105
May 27th	@MIL	W 15-1	+1.5 W	O 8	SF +126

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	101	6	8	4
LR.Zastryzny, P	10	0.2	0	0
RD.Moreta, P	3	0.1	0	0
RR.Stephenson, P	15	1	2	0
RY.Ramirez, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	3-4	2	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	1	3
3C.Joe, 1B	3-4	2	1
4R.Castro, 2B	2-4	1	1
5K.Hayes, 3B	2-5	0	2
6J.Suwinski, RF	1-4	0	1
7C. Owings, SS	0-4	0	0
7T.Marcano, PH	0-1	0	0
7T.Marcano, SS	0-1	0	0
8J.Bae, CF	2-3	3	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Wood, P	94	4.1	4	6
RR.Walker, P	17	1.2	1	1
RL.Jackson, P	11	1	2	0
RT.Rogers, P	13	1	2	0
RC.Doval, P	19	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	2-5	1	0
2J.Davis, 3B	2-4	0	0
3M.Yastrzemski, CF	1-3	1	0
3A.Slater, PH	0-1	0	0
3A.Slater, CF	0-1	0	0
4W.Flores, DH	1-4	0	1
5B.Sabol, LF	2-4	2	0
6M.Haniger, RF	0-3	0	0
7P.Bailey, C	2-4	0	1
8C.Schmitt, SS	1-3	0	1
9B.Wisely, 2B	1-4	0	0