PIT @ MIA
8:10 pm • Sportsnet PTStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 6.58 | 0-2 | |
 |  | 5.14 | 2-2 |
Pirates vs. Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Pirates 13-14 | +1.5-205 | o7.5-107 | +106 | |
Marlins 6-21 | -1.5+170 | u7.5-112 | -125 | |
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Pirates vs. Marlins Game Analysis
Pirates vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Marlins were 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2023 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Matchup Contrasts
45% of Nick Fortes strikeouts were looking last season -- highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. 35% of Mitch Keller strikeouts were looking last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.
Jack Suwinski struck out in 32% of PA's last season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Tanner Scott had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
40% of Jesus Luzardo's called strikeouts were elevated in the 2023 season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 91st Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 50% (181/361) against Jesus Luzardo on breaking pitches in the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% -- 98th Percentile.
Pirates vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 6-7 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Marlins' 14 last games at home
Pirates vs. Marlins Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Marlins vs. Pirates Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
Braxton Garrett
PGarrett is out with shoulder
Out
Sandy Alcantara
PAlcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
PJesus Luzardo (elbow) scratched Friday.
Out
Jake Burger
IFBurger is out with oblique
Out
Xavier Edwards
IFEdwards is out with foot
Out
Eury Perez
PPerez is out with elbow
Out
Pirates Injuries
Yasmani Grandal
CGrandal is out with foot
Out
Marco Gonzales
PGonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IFHayes is day-to-day
Day-to-Day
Johan Oviedo
POviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jason Delay
CDelay is out with knee
Out
Endy Rodriguez
CRodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Pirates vs. Marlins Box Score
Pirates Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RM.Keller, P | 85 | 5.2 | 3 | 4 | |
| LJ.Fleming, P | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
| RH.Stratton, P | 8 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
| LR.Borucki, P | 14 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | |
| LA.Chapman, P | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RL.Ortiz, P | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| LJ.Hernandez, P | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1C.Joe, RF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1C.Joe, 1B | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2B.Reynolds, LF | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2B.Reynolds, RF | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 3K.Hayes, 3B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4A.McCutchen, DH | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5H.Davis, C | 1-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6O.Cruz, SS | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7J.Triolo, 2B | 1-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8R.Tellez, 1B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8E.Olivares, PH | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8E.Olivares, RF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8J.Suwinski, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8J.Suwinski, LF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9M.Taylor, CF | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ.Luzardo, P | 85 | 5 | 8 | 2 | |
| RG.Soriano, P | 24 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
| LA.Nardi, P | 15 | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | |
| RA.Bender, P | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RS.Sanchez, P | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| LT.Scott, P | 26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| RD.Cronin, P | 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1L.Arraez, 2B | 0-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2J.Bell, 1B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3B.De La Cruz, DH | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4J.Chisholm, CF | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5J.Burger, 3B | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6J.Sanchez, RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6A.Garcia, PH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6A.Garcia, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7T.Anderson, SS | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8N.Gordon, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8V.Brujan, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8V.Brujan, LF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9N.Fortes, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9J.Bride, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9C.Bethancourt, C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Pirates vs. Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Pirates 13-14 | N/A | N/A |
Marlins 6-21 | N/A | N/A |