Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 25, 2024

Pirates at Reds

11:10 pm • BSOH

Pittsburgh Pirates

1-0

9 - 5

Cincinnati Reds

1-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
M.Keller			4.25	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 1-0	+1.5-192	o8.5-120	+110
Reds 1-1	-1.5+160	u8.5+100	-130

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

June 25, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

E.De La Cruz o0.5 HR+475

0.5u

CIN -125

1.25u

H.Greene o7.5 Ks+115

J.Candelario o0.5 HR+425

0.5u

M.Keller u5.5 Ks+100

PIT +118

1.18u

PIT +105

3.15u

CIN -120

1.2u

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have allowed just 3.2 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (6 games). The Pirates have scored just 2.3 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has an OPS of just .690 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .563 (667 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Yasmani Grandal has an OPS of just .598 since the 2022 season -- ninth worst among hitters with at least 598 total PA's-- second Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .563 (667 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (82/272) against Mitch Keller this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .270 (169-for-627) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 -- seventh Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 24th	PIT	W 11-5	-1.5 W	O 10	CIN -135
Jun 23rd	BOS	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -162
Jun 22nd	BOS	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BOS -101
Jun 21st	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN -105
Jun 19th	@PIT	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +112

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	104	5.2	6	3
RC.Mlodzinski, P	27	2.1	2	0
LJ.Fleming, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-5	2	1	2
3O.Cruz, SS	1-5	1	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	2	0	1
5E.Olivares, RF	1-5	0	0	2
5J.Suwinski, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 2B	3-4	1	0	1
7J.Triolo, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
8Y.Grandal, C	0-3	0	0	1
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	93	4	5	6
RB.Farmer, P	23	1	1	2
RY.Zulueta, P	51	3	4	1
LB.Suter, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	2-2	3	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	1	0
3J.Candelario, DH	0-5	0	1
4S.Steer, 1B	2-5	1	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-4	0	0
5L.Jordan, PH	0-1	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	1
7S.Espinal, 3B	1-4	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	0-4	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-4	0	0