Pirates vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2023

Pirates at Cubs

11:40 pm • MARQ

Pittsburgh Pirates

9-8

1 - 14

Chicago Cubs

11-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Assad			3.05	5-3
B.Falter			5.58	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 9-8	+1.5-145	o9-102	+136
Cubs 11-4	-1.5+120	u9-118	-162

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 19, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 9-105

1.05u

J.Assad o14.5 Outs-155

0.65u

CHC -1.5+128

1.28u

Under 9-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-108

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Tuesday
Billy Ward•
Sep 19, 2023 UTC
Bet These 4 MLB Underdogs on Tuesday Night | MLB Picks & Predictions 9/19 | Payoff Pitch
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 19, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Cubs are 25-3 (.893) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Connor Joe is batting just .144 with RISP this season -- worst among hitters with at least 223 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .141 (12-for-85) against Javier Assad with RISP this season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner has a miss rate of only 6% on inside fastballs since last season -- third best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Bailey Falter has located his fastball inside 43% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .141 (12-for-85) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .256 -- 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (27/151) against Javier Assad this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	@ARI	L 2-6	-1.5 L	U 9.5	ARI -118
Sep 17th	@ARI	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9	ARI -112
Sep 16th	@ARI	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI -138
Sep 13th	@COL	L 3-7	-1.5 L	U 11.5	COL -193
Sep 13th	@COL	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 12	COL -188

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	24	1	1	2
RQ.Priester, P	91	6	2	4
RK.Nicolas, P	29	0.1	0	6
LJ.Hernandez, P	19	0.2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Bae, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
4J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	0	0	0
4A.Williams, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Palacios, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Triolo, PH	0-0	0	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Andujar, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7H.Davis, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Rivas, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Peguero, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	84	5	8	1
LD.Smyly, P	14	1	3	0
RJ.Cuas, P	15	1	1	0
RM.Leiter, P	15	1	1	0
LL.Little, P	21	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	2	0	1
2D.Swanson, SS	2-5	2	1	2
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-5	1	1	3
3C.Bellinger, 1B	1-5	1	1	3
4S.Suzuki, RF	3-4	2	1	1
5Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Amaya, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Amaya, C	0-1	0	0	0
6I.Happ, LF	1-3	1	0	0
6J.Young, PH	1-1	0	0	1
6J.Young, 1B	1-1	0	0	1
7C.Morel, 3B	0-2	2	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, PR	0-1	1	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
8P.Wisdom, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-0	1	0	0
9A.Canario, DH	2-4	1	1	5
9A.Canario, LF	2-4	1	1	5