Rays vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2023

Rays at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Tampa Bay Rays

3-5

3 - 0

Miami Marlins

3-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 3-5	-1.5+140	o7.5-105	-126
Marlins 3-5	+1.5-170	u7.5-115	+105

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 30, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

TB -1.5+143

1.43u

J.Luzardo o4.5 Hits Allowed-125

1.25u

MGM. Luzardo over in 18/26 games, incl 9/13 against teams in the top half of batting average vs lefties (TB is 7th at .266). I like the matchup here, because the Rays swing a ton - 7th highest swing rate and 5th highest chase rate, which should combat any potential issues Luzardo has with control.

MIA +105

Featured Insight
The Marlins have scored just 2.0 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- second-lowest in MLB (294 games). The Rays have allowed just 2.2 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- tied for fourth-lowest in MLB (295 games).

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Featured Insight
Rays hitters have an OPS of .773 over the last week -- fourth-best in MLB. MarlinsRPs have allowed an OPS of .724 (2,178 PAs) over the last week -- 10th-worst in MLB.

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MLB NRFI Bet for Wednesday: Bet Gray & Luzardo
Shayne Trail•
Aug 30, 2023 UTC
Best Bets from Wednesday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
Aug 30, 2023 UTC

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The Rays are 70-2 (.972) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Rays are 16-11 (.593) after a road loss this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Yandy Diaz has an OPS of .711 with two strikes this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of .599 (357 PAs) with two strikes this season -- eighth worst among qualified SPs-- 13th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has thrown low pitches 60% of the time (346/574) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 20 of 573 batters (4%) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 29th	TB	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 8	TB -120
Aug 27th	WSH	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -205
Aug 26th	WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	WSH -218
Aug 25th	WSH	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -218
Aug 23rd	@SD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	SD +110

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	69	6.1	4
LC.Poche, P	9	1	2
RS.Armstrong, P	19	1.2	1
RP.Fairbanks, P	10	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	1-3	0	2
3H.Ramirez, DH	1-5	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-5	0	0
5B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	0	0
6O.Basabe, SS	0-3	0	0
7J.Siri, CF	0-3	1	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0
8J.Aranda, PH	1-1	1	0
8R.Pinto, C	0-0	0	0
9V.Brujan, RF	0-3	0	0
9J.Lowe, PH	1-1	1	1
9J.Lowe, RF	1-1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	96	6	8	0
LA.Puk, P	19	0.1	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	13	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	12	1.2	1	0
RD.Robertson, P	22	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Burger, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Sanchez, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6J.Berti, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Berti, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Wendle, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-2	0	0	0