Rays vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2023

Rays at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

3 - 0

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	-1.5+140	o7.5-105	-126
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-170	u7.5-115	+105

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 30, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

TB -1.5+143

1.43u

J.Luzardo o4.5 Hits Allowed-125

1.25u

MGM. Luzardo over in 18/26 games, incl 9/13 against teams in the top half of batting average vs lefties (TB is 7th at .266). I like the matchup here, because the Rays swing a ton - 7th highest swing rate and 5th highest chase rate, which should combat any potential issues Luzardo has with control.

Featured Insight
The Marlins have scored just 2.0 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- second-lowest in MLB (294 games). The Rays have allowed just 2.2 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- tied for fourth-lowest in MLB (295 games).

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Featured Insight
Rays hitters have an OPS of .773 over the last week -- fourth-best in MLB. MarlinsRPs have allowed an OPS of .724 (2,178 PAs) over the last week -- 10th-worst in MLB.

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MLB NRFI Bet for Wednesday: Bet Gray & Luzardo
Shayne Trail•
Aug 30, 2023 UTC
Best Bets from Wednesday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
Aug 30, 2023 UTC

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The Rays are 70-2 (.972) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Rays are 16-11 (.593) after a road loss this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Yandy Diaz has an OPS of .711 with two strikes this season -- sixth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of .599 (357 PAs) with two strikes this season -- eighth worst among qualified SPs-- 13th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has thrown low pitches 60% of the time (346/574) on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 20 of 573 batters (4%) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 29th	TB	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 8	TB -120
Aug 27th	WSH	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -205
Aug 26th	WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	WSH -218
Aug 25th	WSH	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -218
Aug 23rd	@SD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	SD +110

Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	69	6.1	4
LC.Poche, P	9	1	2
RS.Armstrong, P	19	1.2	1
RP.Fairbanks, P	10	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	1-3	0	2
3H.Ramirez, DH	1-5	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-5	0	0
5B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	0	0
6O.Basabe, SS	0-3	0	0
7J.Siri, CF	0-3	1	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-3	0	0
8J.Aranda, PH	1-1	1	0
8R.Pinto, C	0-0	0	0
9V.Brujan, RF	0-3	0	0
9J.Lowe, PH	1-1	1	1
9J.Lowe, RF	1-1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	96	6	8	0
LA.Puk, P	19	0.1	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	13	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	12	1.2	1	0
RD.Robertson, P	22	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Burger, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Sanchez, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6J.Berti, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Berti, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Wendle, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-2	0	0	0