Rays vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Rays at Yankees

5:05 pm • YES

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

2 - 0

New York Yankees

8-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cortes			3.77	9-10
Z.Eflin			2.60	5-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	+1.5-192	o9-105	+105
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+160	u9-115	-125

Saturday 5:05 p.m.

April 20, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

Over 9-105

1.58u

TB +120

1.2u

TB +115 (F5)

TB +123

0.62u

Bet to +112

TB +110 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +102

N.Cortes u17.5 Outs-120

1.2u

Under in 3/4 so far, and this Tampa roster has had his number (the likely 1-5 hitters tomorrow are a combined 22/81 off him with 8 HR). Nestor was sharp for one game against a Marlins team that can’t hit lefties. The Rays are closer to league average, but they’ve held 7/8 lefty starters below this line, and 6/8 didn’t even pitch in the sixth inning. Nestor is running above average again in pitches per PA (3.9 this season, 4.0 last season). Yanks bullpen rested enough after off day Thursday and only three relievers used today.

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Featured Insight
Yankees left-handed hitters have struck out just 12% against RHP over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Rays have a strikeout rate of just 17% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Yankees are 58-15 (.795) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

40% of Juan Soto strikeouts were looking last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 34% of Zach Eflin strikeouts were looking last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (20/67) against Nestor Cortes this season -- 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 42% -- sixth Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 98 batters (2%) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (5/32) against Nestor Cortes -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	TB	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY -182
Apr 17th	@TOR	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -102
Apr 16th	@TOR	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TOR -102
Apr 15th	@TOR	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR -105
Apr 14th	@CLE	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -125

Jeffrey Springs
P
Springs is out with elbow
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	78	6	6
LC.Poche, P	8	1	0
RP.Maton, P	18	1	1
RJ.Adam, P	11	1	1
LG.Cleavinger, P	17	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	0-5	0	0
3H.Ramirez, DH	1-4	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-4	0	0
5A.Rosario, RF	2-4	0	0
5A.Rosario, 2B	2-4	0	0
6C.Mead, 2B	1-4	0	0
6R.Palacios, PR	0-0	1	0
6R.Palacios, RF	0-0	1	0
7J.Caballero, SS	1-3	1	1
8J.Siri, CF	0-4	0	0
9R.Pinto, C	1-2	0	0
9A.Shenton, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	1-1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	102	7	9	0
RL.Weaver, P	12	1	1	0
RC.Holmes, P	21	1	2	0
LC.Ferguson, P	19	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	2-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Verdugo, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6T.Grisham, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6G.Stanton, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Trammell, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6G.Torres, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7O.Cabrera, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Jones, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Wells, C	0-2	0	0	0