Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - June 19, 2024

Red Sox at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SN1

Boston Red Sox

11-8

7 - 3

Toronto Blue Jays

12-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Gausman			3.83	14-11
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 11-8	+1.5-182	o8-105	+120
Blue Jays 12-8	-1.5+152	u8-115	-142

Wednesday 11:07 p.m.

June 19, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases+116

1.16u

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases+125

K.Gausman u18.5 Outs-152

0.66u

TOR -146

$1000.00

TOR -1.5+145

$500.00

Over 8-105

Over 8+100

Glausman has been terrible at home this season and Bello has been horrible in his three June starts.

Over 8-102

Over 8-115

TOR -130

R.Devers o0.5 HR+360

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases+120

0.83u

TOR -120

0.6u

Bet to -130

TOR -125 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -135

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 26% against the Red Sox RPs over the last week -- best in MLB. Blue Jays hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score last season -- lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Bets
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 19, 2024 UTC

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The Blue Jays are just 5-12 (.294) after a road win this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.

The Red Sox are 36-9 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Red Sox are 21-15 (.583) on the road this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Blue Jays are just 4-14 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

86% of non-fastball strikeouts for Jarren Duran are located out of the zone this season -- third highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 80% of Kevin Gausman non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Rafael Devers is slugging .556 this season -- seventh best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Kevin Gausman has allowed a SLG of .507 vs left-handed batters this season -- fourth worst among qualified SPs-- seventh Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (872/1,145) of the time since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (53/353) against Brayan Bello since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 18th	BOS	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7.5	BOS +114
Jun 17th	BOS	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -122
Jun 16th	CLE	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 7.5	TOR -119
Jun 15th	CLE	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8	TOR -125
Jun 14th	CLE	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CLE -150

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	88	6	6	2
RJ.Slaten, P	24	2	3	1
RC.Martin, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	1	1	2
2D.Hamilton, SS	2-5	0	0	1
3T.O'Neill, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	1-5	1	0	0
6E.Valdez, 2B	2-3	3	1	1
7R.McGuire, C	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Smith, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
9R.Gonzalez, CF	1-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gausman, P	97	5.2	4	4
LT.Mayza, P	9	0.1	0	0
LG.Cabrera, P	10	1	0	0
RR.Burr, P	10	0.1	0	1
RZ.Pop, P	12	0.2	0	0
RB.Francis, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Horwitz, 2B	2-4	0	0
2J.Turner, DH	2-4	1	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-5	0	0
4D.Varsho, LF	0-4	0	0
5D.Jansen, C	0-4	0	0
6G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0
7A.Barger, 3B	2-4	1	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-3	1	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-4	0	1