Red Sox vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2024

Red Sox at Mariners

8:10 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

10-7

5 - 1

Seattle Mariners

6-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			2.95	12-8
G.Whitlock			1.96	1-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 10-7	-1.5+164	o8-101	-106
Mariners 6-13	+1.5-192	u8-118	-113

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

March 31, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA o5.5 Team Total+210

0.35u

J.Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.55u

Over 7.5-117

1.17u

BOS +110

2.2u

BOS +130

3.9u

BOS +130

1.3u

… Betting Against Good Team Overall: 442-509-0,46% (ROI:16%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Featured Insight
Red Sox had a strikeout rate of 24% vs right-handed batters last season -- 10th highest in MLB. Mariners Right Handed Hitters struck out 26% against LHP last season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mariners have scored 2.6 runs per game in the first five innings since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB (327 games). The Red Sox have allowed 2.8 runs per game in the first five innings since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB (327 games).

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Opening Pitch: DiSturco's MLB Bets for Sunday
Charlie Disturco•
Mar 31, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 38-48 (.442) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

34% of Rafael Devers strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 61% of Bryce Miller's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed a just .315 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)-- 93rd Percentile and .558 vs left-handed batters last season (sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)-- sixth Percentile.

Bryce Miller threw fastballs 70% of the time (770/1,102) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- 99th Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has walked 28 of 615 batters (5%) since last season -- tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 97th Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 75% (172/229) of opposing batters in the 2023 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 31st	BOS	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SEA -155
Mar 30th	BOS	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7	SEA -155
Mar 29th	BOS	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -150
Mar 26th	@SD	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 8	SEA +117
Mar 26th	@SD	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA +105

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Whitlock, P	81	5	8	1
RG.Weissert, P	15	1	1	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	13	0.2	0	0
RJ.Slaten, P	15	2.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
3T.Story, SS	2-4	0	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	1	0	0
6T.O'Neill, LF	2-3	2	1	1
7W.Abreu, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8E.Valdez, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
9R.McGuire, C	2-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	91	5	6	4
RC.Bolton, P	22	1	1	1
RC.Snider, P	25	2	1	0
RT.Thornton, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0
4M.Haniger, DH	1-4	1	0
5T.France, 1B	2-4	0	0
6D.Canzone, LF	0-2	0	0
6D.Moore, PH	0-2	0	0
6D.Moore, LF	0-2	0	0
7L.Raley, RF	0-3	0	0
8J.Rojas, 3B	1-2	0	1
8L.Urias, PH	0-0	0	0
8L.Urias, 3B	0-0	0	0
9S.Zavala, C	0-3	0	0