Reds vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2023

Reds at Dodgers

1:10 am • SportsNet LA

Cincinnati Reds

9-11

2 - 3

Los Angeles Dodgers

12-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Sheehan			4.92	4-1
L.Weaver			3.38	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 9-11	+1.5-120	o10.5-115	+160
Dodgers 12-8	-1.5+100	u10.5-105	-193

Sunday 1:10 a.m.

July 30, 2023

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

Over 10.5-107

1.07u

E.Sheehan u16.5 Outs-135

After two strong starts out of the gate, Sheehan has stayed under in each of his last 4 starts. 6.76 ERA overall, and showing massive control issues, as he did in the minors (12 walks in his last three starts). His 62.1% strike % and 38.8% zone % ranks in the bottom 10th percentile amongst starters, and I think that’s going to come into play tonight. The Reds have a great eye as a team - 4th lowest chase rate in baseball (3rd lowest the L30 days). And while the bats have been streaky, the Reds are a top 5 4-seam fastball hitting team (per wRC) and Sheehan, who really is only a two pitch-pitcher, is overly reliant on his fastball (64% thrown).

CIN u4.5-135

Under 10.5-115

0.5u

Need -115 or better

LAD -170 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -175

Over 10.5-110

1.1u

Under 10.5-115

0.87u

Saturday MLB Props: How to Bet J.D. Martinez & More
Doug Ziefel•
Jul 29, 2023 UTC

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The Dodgers are 58-43 (.574) this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Freddie Freeman is batting .327 since last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting .311 (71-for-228) against Luke Weaver since last season -- second worst among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP-- first Percentile.

James Outman has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Alexis Diaz has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 29th	CIN	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -225
Jul 26th	TOR	L 1-8	-1.5 L	U 10	TOR -132
Jul 26th	TOR	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 9	LAD -148
Jul 25th	TOR	L 3-6	-1.5 L	U 9	TOR -120
Jul 23rd	@TEX	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TEX -120

Clayton Kershaw
P
Kershaw is out with toe
Out

Michael Kopech
P
Kopech is questionable with arm
Questionable
Michael Grove
P
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
P
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Weaver, P	87	6	2	1
RF.Cruz, P	14	1	2	0
RB.Farmer, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.De La Cruz, SS	1-5	1	0
1E.De La Cruz, 3B	1-5	1	0
2T.Friedl, CF	1-4	1	0
3M.McLain, 2B	1-4	0	0
3M.McLain, SS	1-4	0	0
4J.Fraley, RF	0-2	0	0
4K.Newman, PH	0-1	0	1
4K.Newman, 2B	0-1	0	1
5S.Steer, 3B	1-4	0	1
5S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	1
6J. Votto, 1B	0-2	0	0
7C.Encarnacion-Strand, DH	1-3	0	0
8N.Senzel, LF	0-2	0	0
8W.Benson, PH	0-2	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-2	0	0
9L.Maile, C	1-3	0	0
9T.Stephenson, PH	1-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Sheehan, P	82	5	5	0
LC.Ferguson, P	21	0.2	1	2
RJ.Kelly, P	10	0.1	1	0
RB.Graterol, P	22	1.2	1	0
RE.Phillips, P	20	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Peralta, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
3W.Smith, C	0-2	0	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	2-3	2	2	3
5J.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Heyward, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Outman, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Taylor, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Hernandez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Rojas, SS	0-3	0	0	0