Reds vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - June 27, 2023

Reds at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

Cincinnati Reds

11-12

3 - 1

Baltimore Orioles

9-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 11-12	+1.5-156	o8-115	+131
Orioles 9-12	-1.5+130	u8-105	-158

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

June 27, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1-110

2.2u

T.Wells o5.5 Ks-130

0.77u

BAL u4.5-120

CIN +125

1.25u

T.Wells o5.5 Ks-116

0.86u

T.Wells o5.5 Ks-105

MGM. Over in 7/L8, and 6/8 at home. He’s figured out righties, which was his weaker split, with a 26% K% over the 8 game stretch. CIN is righty heavy, and while they have a low K% of late, I read that as a product of weaker opponents. Plus, after last night’s rain delay/quasi bullpen game, I expect Wells to be on a slightly longer leash tonight.

BAL -140

0.5u

Bet365 12:21.

Over 8.5-114

FanDuel 12:20.

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

Updated weather forecast and Monday rain delay / bullpen usage bumped this projection to 9. Bet Over 8.5 to -110 regardless of whether you have the Under. If you can’t get -110 on 8.5 would try to cash out of the Under ticket

Under 9-110

0.5u

Would now bet Over 8.5 to -110 or pass

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The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.

Gunnar Henderson has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- tied for 15th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has a strikeout rate of 42% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 9% (1/11) against Andrew Abbott -- lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (9/31) against Andrew Abbott over the last 14 days (2 games) -- 4th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% -- eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .197 (25-for-127) against Tyler Wells in non-two strike counts this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 4-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Orioles' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	8-13	4-7	4-6	4-8	4-5
Reds	13-10	7-5	6-5	4-3	9-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	13-5-3	8-1-2	5-4-1	9-1-2	4-4-1
Reds	12-10-1	5-6-1	7-4	2-4-1	9-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	9-12	5-6	4-6	5-7	4-5
Reds	11-12	6-6	5-6	4-3	7-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	CIN	W 10-3	-1.5 W	O 10	BAL -130
Jun 25th	SEA	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	BAL +100
Jun 24th	SEA	W 6-4	-	O 9	BAL -119
Jun 23rd	SEA	L 1-13	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SEA -110
Jun 21st	@TB	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	TB +120

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
OF
O'Neill is day-to-day with neck
Day-to-Day
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	106	6	8	1
RL.Sims, P	26	1	1	0
RB.Farmer, P	13	1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	2-4	2	1	1
2M.McLain, SS	2-4	1	1	2
3J.India, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
4E.De La Cruz, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Senzel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5N.Senzel, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Steer, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Wells, P	99	6	7	2
LK.Akin, P	13	1	2	0
RB.Baker, P	23	1	2	1
LC.Perez, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Hays, LF	0-4	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	0-3	0	0
3A.Santander, DH	0-4	0	0
4G.Henderson, 3B	1-4	0	0
4G.Henderson, SS	1-4	0	0
5A. Hicks, CF	0-3	1	0
5A. Hicks, RF	0-3	1	0
6R.Urias, 1B	0-2	0	0
6C.Mullins, PH	0-1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	0-1	0	0
7J.Westburg, 2B	2-3	0	0
7J.Westburg, 3B	2-3	0	0
8R.McKenna, RF	0-1	0	1
8R.O'Hearn, PH	0-1	0	0
8R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-1	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	0-2	0	0
9A.Frazier, PH	0-0	0	0
9A.Frazier, 2B	0-0	0	0