Rockies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2024

Rockies at Marlins

4:10 pm • COLR

Colorado Rockies

0-0

4 - 5

Miami Marlins

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 0-0	+1.5-148	o7.5-111	+145
Marlins 0-0	-1.5+124	u7.5-109	-175

Thursday 4:10 p.m.

May 02, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

L.Arraez o1.5 Total Bases (Live)+100

1.5u

COL +145

E.Cabrera o6.5 Ks-122

He’s got amazing stuff - in the upper echelon of whiff and K rates, the concern has always been his ability to throw strikes. But this is an ideal matchup for him against a Rockies team that has the second highest out of zone swing %. Rockies in general are at 26% K% away from Coors - and they are throwing 7 righties at Cabrera today, and 7 hitters in total have an above avg K%. Cabrera over in 2/3.

COL +144

Under 8-115

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 310-216-17,59% (ROI:13%) Season:10-8-1,56% (ROI:7%)

COL +143

COL +154

0.5u

Bet to +145

Featured Insight
Rockies have won 76% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- third best in MLB. Marlins have won just 23% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP over the last week -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. Rockies RPs have a strikeout rate of just 4% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- lowest in MLB.

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The Marlins are just 57-15 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Marlins are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Rockies are just 48-29 (.623) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.

Ezequiel Tovar has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 41% since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Ryan McMahon has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (11/72) against Peter Lambert this season -- 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- sixth Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 72 of 501 batters (14%) since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	COL	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 9	MIA -143
Apr 30th	COL	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8	MIA -136
Apr 29th	WSH	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -142
Apr 28th	WSH	L 9-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -135
Apr 27th	WSH	L 4-11	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -144

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Antonio Senzatela
P
Senzatela is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lambert, P	67	3.1	3	4
LT.Blach, P	45	4	2	0
RJ.Lawrence, P	22	2	3	0
LJ.Beeks, P	12	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Tovar, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2B.Doyle, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4E.Montero, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
5B.Rodgers, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
6J.Beck, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Cave, RF	0-3	1	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	2-4	1	1	3
9H.Goodman, DH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Blackmon, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9C.Blackmon, DH	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	91	4	9	4
RC.Faucher, P	15	2	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	9	1	2	0
RA.Bender, P	23	1	1	0
RA.Maldonado, P	19	1	1	0
RB.Smith, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	2	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3J.Chisholm, CF	1-5	0	0	1
4J.Bell, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4O.Lopez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	2
6T.Anderson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Myers, LF	1-3	1	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0	1
9V.Brujan, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	0	0	0