Royals vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 12, 2024

Royals at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Kansas City Royals

13-8

6 - 1

Boston Red Sox

11-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Criswell			4.08	6-5
C.Ragans			3.14	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 13-8	-1.5+140	o9-119	-113
Red Sox 11-7	+1.5-168	u9-102	-105

Friday 11:10 p.m.

July 12, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

KC -128 (F5)

0.78u

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases+115

Getting my lick back

BOS +100

0.5u

Bet to -10

BOS +100

Featured Insight
Royals have struck out just 16% over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB. Red Sox RPs have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Red Sox are batting .249 versus relief pitchers since last season -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .258 (908-for-3,513) against Royals RPs since last season -- third worst in MLB.

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Royals vs. Red Sox: Back Ragans & KC on the Road
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The Red Sox are 58-18 (.763) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Tyler O'Neill has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- tied for 12th highest among hitters with at least 138 total PA's-- third Percentile. Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 32% vs right-handed batters this season -- eighth highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .884 since the 2022 season -- ninth best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Sam Long has allowed an OPS of .762 (455 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 14th worst among qualified RPs-- eighth Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .271 (58-for-214) against Josh Winckowski since last season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 -- 12th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 11th	ATH	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 10	BOS -237
Jul 10th	ATH	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 10	ATH -198
Jul 9th	ATH	W 12-9	-1.5 W	O 10.5	BOS -205
Jul 7th	@NYY	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS +110
Jul 6th	@NYY	L 4-14	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY +147

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Ragans, P	102	7	7	1
RC.Stratton, P	20	1	3	0
RN.Anderson, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Frazier, DH	2-5	2	0	1
2B.Witt, SS	2-4	1	1	1
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
4S.Perez, C	1-3	0	0	2
4F.Fermin, C	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Massey, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6H.Renfroe, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Melendez, LF	2-4	2	1	1
8M.Garcia, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Criswell, P	104	6	1	2
LC.Booser, P	14	1	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	21	2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Refsnyder, RF	1-2	0	0
1W.Abreu, PH	0-1	0	0
1W.Abreu, RF	0-1	0	0
2J.Duran, LF	0-4	0	0
3T.O'Neill, DH	0-4	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0
5C.Wong, C	0-4	0	0
6R.Gonzalez, 1B	0-3	0	0
6D.Smith, PH	0-1	0	0
7J.Westbrook, 2B	1-3	1	0
8C.Rafaela, CF	2-3	0	1
9D.Hamilton, SS	0-2	0	0