Tigers vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2024

Tigers at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Detroit Tigers

9-9

1 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

7-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5
J.Flaherty			2.95	7-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 9-9	-1.5+170	o7-112	+100
Guardians 7-12	+1.5-205	u7-110	-118

Monday 10:10 p.m.

May 06, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

DET -105

1.05u

Under 7.5-120

J.Flaherty u5.5 Ks-140

0.55u

Tailing Jovan

CLE -120

0.83u

CLE -120

0.83u

R.Greene o1.5 Total Bases+122

1.22u

CLE -120

System play

Under 7+105

3.15u

Featured Insight
The Tigers have allowed just 4.0 runs per game on the road since last season -- second lowest in MLB (97 games). The Guardians have scored just 3.9 runs per game at home since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (95 games).

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Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have allowed a SLG of just .352 since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Tigers hitters are slugging just .351 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- tied for second worst in MLB.

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The Guardians are 12-68 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

32% of Steven Kwan strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Spencer Torkelson is batting just .221 since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .212 (104-for-491) against Triston McKenzie since the 2022 season -- 13th best among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 18 of 128 batters (14%) this season -- tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- fourth Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 9 of 54 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 51% (25/49) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	LAA	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -155
May 4th	LAA	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -130
May 3rd	LAA	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	LAA -205
May 3rd	@HOU	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 9	HOU +120
May 2nd	@HOU	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE +154

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Flaherty, P		101	6	6	2
LJ.Wentz, P		34	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Greene, DH	1-5	1	1	1
2M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3M.Vierling, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5S.Torkelson, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Keith, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
6A.Ibanez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Ibanez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7P.Meadows, CF	0-1	0	0	0
7W.Perez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7W.Perez, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Baez, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	83	5	6	1
LS.Hentges, P	13	0.2	0	0
RN.Sandlin, P	19	1.1	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	12	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Florial, LF	1-3	1	0	0
1R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1R.Laureano, RF	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	1-3	0	0	1
5W.Brennan, LF	1-3	0	0	1
6B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
7K.Manzardo, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Freeman, CF	2-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0