Tigers vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Tigers at Reds

8:10 pm • BSOH

Detroit Tigers

2-4

5 - 3

Cincinnati Reds

2-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
A.Faedo			3.61	5-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 2-4	+1.5	+1.5-148	o9-120	+136
Reds 2-4	u9	-1.5+124	u9+100	-162

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

July 06, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN -1.5+130

Under 9+100

0.5u

H.Greene o17.5 Outs-140

0.71u

Featured Insight
Tigers have a strikeout rate of 29% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

32% of Elly De La Cruz strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Zach McKinstry is batting just .176 this season -- tied for sixth worst among hitters with at least 129 total PA's-- second Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .189 (34-for-180) against Hunter Greene this season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 36 of Casey Mize's 192 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 34% -- 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .321 (52-for-162) against Casey Mize this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .243 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Reds' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	3-3	3-3	N/A	1-1	2-1
Tigers	3-3	N/A	3-3	0-1	3-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	3-3	3-3	N/A	0-2	2-1
Tigers	4-2	N/A	4-2	0-1	4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	2-4	2-4	N/A	1-1	1-2
Tigers	2-4	N/A	2-4	0-1	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	DET -130
Jul 4th	@NYY	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN +152
Jul 3rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN +154
Jul 2nd	@NYY	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +180
Jun 30th	@STL	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL -105

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Parker Meadows
OF
Meadows is out with arm
Out
Wenceel Perez
OF
Perez is out with back
Out
Matt Vierling
OF
Vierling is out with shoulder
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
P
Madden is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

Austin Hays
OF
Hays is out with calf
Out
Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Faedo, P	25	2	2	0
RB.Brieske, P	40	2.1	5	2
LT.Holton, P	33	1.2	2	0
RS.Miller, P	32	2	3	0
RJ.Foley, P	10	0.2	0	1
LA.Chafin, P	6	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2A.Ibanez, PH	0-1	1	0	0
2A.Ibanez, 2B	0-1	1	0	0
3M.Canha, RF	1-4	0	0	1
3Z.McKinstry, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3Z.McKinstry, SS	0-0	1	0	0
4R.Greene, LF	0-3	0	0	1
5C.Kelly, C	1-3	0	0	1
6J.Malloy, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Urshela, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8P.Meadows, CF	2-4	1	0	0
9R.Kreidler, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Perez, PH	1-2	1	1	2
9W.Perez, RF	1-2	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	104	7	7	0
RF.Cruz, P	17	0.1	0	3
LS.Moll, P	20	0.1	0	2
RL.Sims, P	17	0.1	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	1-3	2	1	1
5N.Martini, LF	1-3	1	0	0
5N.Martini, RF	1-3	1	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	0	2
7N.Marte, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Dunn, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Dunn, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Rios, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8S.Espinal, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-2	0	0	0