Tigers vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 16, 2024

Tigers at Royals

11:40 pm • BSDET

Detroit Tigers

4-3

7 - 6

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			3.01	16-9
R.Olson			3.53	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-3	+1.5	+1.5-178	o8-105	+117
Royals 3-3	u8.5	-1.5+147	u8-114	-137

Monday 11:40 p.m.

September 16, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

KC -144

B.Witt o0.5 HR+525

0.79u

Featured Insight
Tigers RPs have allowed an OPS of just .522 (267 PAs) over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Royals hitters have an OPS of just .627 over the last two weeks -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Royals right-handed hitters have struck out just 18% against LHP this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. Tigers RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs right-handed batters this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Tigers are just 19-71 (.211) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.

32% of Maikel Garcia strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 47% of Casey Mize's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .318 on non-fastballs this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .273 (51-for-187) against Casey Mize non-fastballs this season -- tied for 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP-- ninth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .308 (48-for-156) against Casey Mize when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .246 -- fourth Percentile.

Casey Mize has allowed an OPS of .990 (100 PA's) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .706 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 15th	@PIT	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PIT -105
Sep 14th	@PIT	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	KC -120
Sep 13th	@PIT	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	KC -106
Sep 11th	@NYY	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8	NYY +125
Sep 10th	@NYY	W 5-0	+1.5 W	U 9	KC +120

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Olson, P	50	2.1	3	4
LS.Guenther, P	16	1.2	1	1
RB.Hanifee, P	31	2.1	3	1
RW.Vest, P	9	0.2	0	0
RB.Brieske, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Foley, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Meadows, CF	2-5	1	0	0
2K.Carpenter, DH	1-3	0	0	0
2W.Perez, PH	1-2	1	0	2
2W.Perez, DH	1-2	1	0	2
3M.Vierling, RF	3-5	1	0	1
4R.Greene, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5C.Keith, 2B	1-5	1	1	2
6S.Torkelson, 1B	2-5	0	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, SS	2-5	1	0	0
8T.Sweeney, SS	0-1	0	0	1
8A.Ibanez, PH	1-2	1	0	0
8A.Ibanez, 3B	1-2	1	0	0
8J.Jung, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Jung, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	96	4.2	4	4
LS.Long, P	22	0.2	1	3
RJ.Schreiber, P	15	0.2	2	0
RJ.McArthur, P	17	0.2	1	0
LA.Zerpa, P	18	1.1	2	0
RC.Hernandez, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, DH	1-5	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-4	1	1	5
3S.Perez, C	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Massey, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4D.Blanco, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4P.DeJong, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5H.Renfroe, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Melendez, LF	1-4	1	0	0
7A.Frazier, 3B	0-0	1	0	0
7M.Garcia, PH	1-3	0	0	1
7M.Garcia, 3B	1-3	0	0	1
7M.Garcia, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
8Y.Gurriel, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
8G.Hampson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8G.Hampson, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
8R.Grossman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	2-4	2	0	0