Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 27, 2024

Twins at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • ARID

Minnesota Twins

8-10

8 - 3

Arizona Diamondbacks

11-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 8-10	-1.5	-1.5+130	o9-112	-125
Diamondbacks 11-10	u9	+1.5-155	u9-108	+105

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

June 27, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI +105

Under 9-115

1.15u

S.Woods Richardson u4.5 Ks-145

ARI +106

B.Buxton o1.5 Total Bases+114

MIN -121

Under 9+100

0.5u

Bet to -115

MIN -116

1.72u

R.Nelson u16.5 Outs-111

Twins offense has been lights out - 151 wRC+ and an .879 OPS the L14 days vs righties (both the highest in baseball). Nelson is bad at home - 5.74 ERA, and under in 7/12 starts. Twins can stack 6-7 righties if they’d like (Nelson allowing a .923 OPS), but either way, love the matchup for Minny.

Featured Insight
Twins have struck out just 18% this month -- second lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 16% this month -- tied for lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 45% this season -- fourth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight
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Jun 26, 2024 UTC
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The Twins are 71-57 (.555) after a win since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 30% of PA's since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Christian Walker has 34 home runs on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- third most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Jhoan Duran has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 85th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	MIN	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	ARI +110
Jun 23rd	@PHI	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +197
Jun 22nd	@PHI	L 1-12	+1.5 L	O 9.5	PHI +217
Jun 21st	@PHI	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI +120
Jun 20th	@WSH	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	ARI +120

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	90	5.1	4	3
RJ.Staumont, P	5	0.2	0	0
LS.Okert, P	19	1.1	3	0
RJ.Duran, P	3	0.2	0	0
RR.Henriquez, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Castro, 2B	2-4	2	1	2
2T.Larnach, LF	2-5	1	0	1
2M.Margot, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	0-5	0	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	3-4	2	0	1
6C.Santana, 1B	3-5	1	0	0
7B.Buxton, CF	0-3	1	0	1
8J.Miranda, 3B	3-4	1	0	3
9C.Vazquez, C	1-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	77	3.2	3	6
RS.McGough, P	13	1	2	1
LB.Hughes, P	16	1	3	1
RT.Vieira, P	37	2.1	2	0
RB.Jarvis, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	0-2	1	0
3J.Pederson, DH	1-3	1	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	1	0
5L.Gurriel, LF	1-3	0	2
6J.McCarthy, RF	0-4	0	0
7E.Suarez, 3B	0-3	0	0
8T.Barnhart, C	0-3	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0