Twins vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - July 14, 2024

Twins at Giants

8:05 pm • NBCS-BA

Minnesota Twins

12-16

2 - 3

San Francisco Giants

19-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			3.12	5-3
C.Paddack			4.99	5-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 12-16	+1.5-166	o7.5+100	+138
Giants 19-10	-1.5+140	u7.5-115	-163

Sunday 8:05 p.m.

July 14, 2024

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

MIN +724 (Live)

0.5u

H.Ramos o1.5 Total Bases+125

SF -142

$774.65

SF -140 (F5)

0.71u

SF -118

0.5u

Bet to -125

Featured Insight
Twins RPs have a strikeout rate of 32% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Giants right-handed hitters have struck out 36% against LHP over the last week -- second highest in MLB.

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3 MLB Pitcher Props for Sunday
Doug Ziefel•
Jul 14, 2024 UTC

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The Twins are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

31% of Carlos Correa strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 42% of Taylor Rogers strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Carlos Santana is batting just .159 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .099 (28-for-282) on Blake Snell breaking pitches since last season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .491 (52 Total Bases / 106 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .309 -- first Percentile.

Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 17% (20 SO in 115 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: 33% -- first Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 51% (641/1,254) when ahead in the count since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- first Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 31% of batters they faced (440/1,414 PA's) since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 19% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 8-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Giants' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	13-16	5-8	8-8	7-10	5-6
Twins	14-14	10-5	4-9	12-9	2-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	16-12-1	5-8	11-4-1	6-11	9-1-1
Twins	10-15-3	5-9-1	5-6-2	8-11-2	2-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	19-10	9-4	10-6	12-5	6-5
Twins	12-16	9-6	3-10	11-10	1-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 13th	MIN	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8	MIN -130
Jul 13th	MIN	W 7-1	+1.5 W	O 7.5	SF +124
Jul 11th	TOR	L 3-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	TOR -127
Jul 11th	TOR	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 7	TOR -162
Jul 10th	TOR	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SF -130

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out
Jerar Encarnacion
RF
Encarnacion is out with hand
Out
Casey Schmitt
1B
Casey Schmitt (side) scratched Friday.
Out

Willi Castro
2B
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P	90	5	6	1
LS.Okert, P	18	0.2	2	0
RJ.Alcala, P	2	0.1	0	0
LC.Thielbar, P	12	0.2	1	0
RJ.Staumont, P	5	0.1	1	0
RG.Jax, P	8	1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	4	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Margot, CF	2-4	0	2
2W.Castro, SS	0-4	0	0
3B.Lee, 2B	0-4	0	0
4R.Jeffers, DH	0-3	0	0
5C.Santana, 1B	0-3	0	0
6M.Kepler, RF	0-3	0	0
7D.Castillo, 3B	0-2	1	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-2	0	0
8T.Larnach, PH	1-1	0	0
8B.Buxton, PR	0-0	1	0
8J.Camargo, C	0-0	0	0
9M.Wallner, LF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Snell, P	80	7	8	0
RT.Rogers, P	9	1	0	0
RC.Doval, P	18	0.1	1	2
RR.Walker, P	2	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Soler, DH	0-4	0	0
2L.Wade, 1B	2-4	1	0
3H.Ramos, CF	0-4	0	0
4P.Bailey, C	1-4	0	1
5M.Conforto, LF	1-3	0	0
6M.Chapman, 3B	0-4	1	0
7M.Yastrzemski, RF	3-3	1	0
8T.Estrada, 2B	1-3	0	1
9B.Wisely, SS	0-3	0	0