Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2024

Twins at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Minnesota Twins

6-8

4 - 11

Cleveland Guardians

7-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Allen			5.73	8-5
B.Ober			3.98	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 6-8	-1.5+142	o7-120	-122
Guardians 7-10	+1.5-170	u7+100	+102

Saturday 10:10 p.m.

May 18, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

MIN -120

0.3u

Under 7.5-124

… under for winning teams including wind direction and temps Overall: 807-552-69,59% (ROI:14%) Season:4-3-0,57% (ROI:11%)

CLE +107

1.07u

MIN -121

$1500.00

Under 7.5-120

1.2u

Over 7-112

0.5u

Bet to 7.5 (-105)

CLE +100

0.5u

Bet to -113

Featured Insight
Twins have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. The Guardians have scored three or more runs in an inning just 87 times (5%) since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 13-74 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Jose Ramirez has an OPS of .836 with two strikes this season -- third best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Bailey Ober has allowed an OPS of .624 (94 PAs) with two strikes this season -- eighth worst among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

Edouard Julien has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Cade Smith has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .393 (11-for-28) against Logan Allen's elevated fastball this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .203 -- first Percentile.

Bailey Ober has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (10/42) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- first Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .685 (50 Total Bases / 73 ABs) at home this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 17th	MIN	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -130
May 16th	@TEX	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +160
May 15th	@TEX	W 7-4	-	O 9	CLE +101
May 14th	@TEX	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CLE -112
May 12th	@CWS	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CLE -170

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	91	4	4	5
LK.Funderburk, P	38	2	0	2
RJ.Jackson, P	34	1	1	4
RW.Castro, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Jeffers, DH	1-4	0	0
1A.Kirilloff, LF	0-1	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-2	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	0-1	0	0
3W.Castro, LF	1-4	1	0
4J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	1	0
5B.Buxton, CF	1-4	1	1
6M.Margot, RF	3-4	0	0
7C.Santana, 1B	1-4	1	0
8K.Farmer, 2B	1-4	0	2
8K.Farmer, SS	1-4	0	2
9C.Vazquez, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	89	6	7	0
RN.Sandlin, P	14	1	0	0
LS.Hentges, P	8	1	1	0
RP.Avila, P	40	1	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	4-4	3	0	3
2A.Gimenez, 2B	3-5	1	0	2
2G.Arias, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	3-5	1	1	3
3E.Florial, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5D.Fry, LF	0-2	2	0	0
5D.Fry, 3B	0-2	2	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	1-5	1	0	1
7K.Manzardo, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7K.Manzardo, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	1	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	2-4	2	0	0