Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2024

Twins at Guardians

5:10 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

0-0

2 - 3

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Cantillo			4.89	2-4
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+164	o8-108	-115
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-190	u8-112	-105

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

September 19, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

MIN -110

1.1u

B.Buxton o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

Under 8-112

0.89u

#ProSystem . windy unders Overall: 724-482-46,60% (ROI:15%) Season:36-31-1,54% (ROI:4%) . wind in and hot unders Overall: 372-267-40,58% (ROI:12%) Season:24-32-1,43% (ROI:-17%)

Under 8-107

0.23u

Projection moved from 8.45 to 8.27 after lineups. Taking 1/2 off of the Over; would pass on the game otherwise

CLE -0.5 (F5)+110

CLE -114 (F5)

1.14u

Over 8-105

0.5u

Update: Pass after lineups

MIN +104

MIN -105

0.5u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Twins RPs this season -- fifth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 2.7 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB (6 games). The Twins have scored just 2.4 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (7 games).

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The Guardians are 39-10 (.796) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Myles Straw has an OPS of just .597 since last season -- eighth worst among hitters with at least 469 total PA's-- second Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .556 (401 PAs) since last season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Andres Gimenez has an OPS of just .672 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .556 (401 PAs) since last season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .125 (5-for-40) against Joey Cantillo in his last two starts -- tied for 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .226 -- 94th Percentile.

Joey Cantillo has allowed an OPS of just .296 (41 PA's) in his last two starts -- 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .651 -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 18th	MIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	CLE -135
Sep 17th	MIN	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	MIN -142
Sep 16th	MIN	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -104
Sep 15th	TB	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -125
Sep 14th	TB	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -142

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	72	4.2	6	1
LC.Irvin, P	30	1.2	2	1
RC.Sands, P	17	0.2	0	0
RL.Varland, P	16	1	1	0
RG.Jax, P	15	1	2	0
LC.Thielbar, P	12	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Margot, LF	1-4	0	1
2C.Correa, DH	0-3	0	0
3B.Buxton, CF	0-5	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0
5R.Lewis, 3B	1-3	0	0
6R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0
7K.Farmer, 2B	1-4	1	0
8M.Wallner, RF	0-3	0	0
9W.Castro, SS	0-2	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Cantillo, P	86	4.1	6	1
RN.Sandlin, P	19	0.2	2	0
LT.Herrin, P	17	1.1	4	0
RA.Walters, P	9	0.2	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	10	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	14	1	0	0
RE.Morgan, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Martinez, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2K.Manzardo, DH	3-3	1	1	1
2D.Fry, PH	1-1	0	0	0
2D.Schneemann, PR	0-1	0	0	0
2D.Schneemann, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
5L.Thomas, CF	1-4	0	0	0
5L.Thomas, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	3-5	0	0	1
7J.Noel, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Straw, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7M.Straw, CF	0-0	0	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	1-2	0	0	1
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-1	0	0	0