Twins vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 20, 2024

Twins at Nationals

10:45 pm • MASN

Minnesota Twins

6-8

3 - 12

Washington Nationals

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Parker			4.29	7-10
P.Lopez			4.08	15-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 6-8	-1.5	-1.5+110	o7.5-110	-155
Nationals 8-8	u8.5	+1.5-130	u7.5-110	+130

Monday 10:45 p.m.

May 20, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

WSH o3.5+115

1.15u

Under 8-110

1.1u

MIN -1.5+101

M.Parker u5.5 Hits Allowed-130

Projection leans under and +ev bet with devig odds of -161

Featured Insight
Twins hitters are slugging .424 versus relief pitchers since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Nationals RPs have allowed a SLG of .418 since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals hitters have a groundball rate of 47% this season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Nationals are 5-2 (.714) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

30% of Carlos Correa strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 44% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

38% of Ryan Jeffers strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest among hitters with at least 306 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. 45% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (10 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- 5th highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .343 -- ninth Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has not walked any of the 81 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 52% (14 SO in 27 PAs) in close and late situations since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	@PHI	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +190
May 18th	@PHI	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7	PHI +145
May 17th	@PHI	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +200
May 15th	@CWS	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7	CWS +142
May 15th	@CWS	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -120

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	74	5	5	7
LC.Thielbar, P	21	1	2	1
RC.Boushley, P	31	2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Jeffers, DH	0-3	1	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	1	2
3M.Margot, RF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5B.Buxton, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6W.Castro, LF	2-4	1	0	0
7K.Farmer, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8C.Santana, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Parker, P	94	6	7	3
RD.Law, P	24	2	1	0
RD.Floro, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-5	1	0	0
2E.Rosario, RF	2-5	1	0	3
3J.Winker, LF	2-4	2	1	1
4J.Meneses, DH	2-5	1	0	1
5L.Garcia, 2B	2-4	1	1	3
6N.Senzel, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	1-3	2	0	0
8K.Ruiz, C	2-4	2	0	0
9J.Young, CF	2-4	2	0	2