Twins vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 9, 2023

Twins at Tigers

10:40 pm • BSDET

Minnesota Twins

3-5

5 - 9

Detroit Tigers

5-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Faedo			4.45	2-5
B.Ober			3.43	8-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 3-5	-1.5+105	o8.5-119	-158
Tigers 5-6	+1.5-126	u8.5-105	+130

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 09, 2023

Comerica ParkDetroit

B.Ober o5.5 Ks+115

$25.30

DET +140

1.4u

DET +145 (F5)

1.45u

DET +145 (F5)

0.73u

Bet to +138

DET +140

0.7u

Bet to +130

Featured Insight
The Tigers have scored just 2.2 runs per game while leading this season -- fifth-lowest in MLB (67 games). The Twins have allowed just 2.2 runs per game while trailing this season -- second-lowest in MLB (83 games).

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Featured Insight
The Tigers have scored just 3.9 runs per game this season -- tied for second-lowest in MLB (113 games). The Twins have allowed just 4.0 runs per game this season -- third-lowest in MLB (115 games).

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The Twins are 19-11 (.633) after a home win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .541.

The Tigers are just 48-85 (.361) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Tigers are just 11-17 (.393) after a home win this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.

69% of Javier Baez fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 88% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are elevated this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

54% of fastball strikeouts for Zach McKinstry are located out of the zone this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 68% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (563/734) this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 100th Percentile.

Mike Clevinger had a strike rate of just 57% (241/420) on sliders in 2022 -- 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- sixth Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 76% of the time (879/1,153) since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 8th	MIN	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	DET -105
Aug 7th	MIN	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN +144
Aug 6th	TB	L 6-10	+1.5 L	O 9	TB +140
Aug 5th	TB	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	DET +125
Aug 4th	TB	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 9	TB +120

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	93	5	9	4
RE.Pagan, P	14	1	1	0
RJ. Balazovic, P	39	2	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3M.Kepler, RF	1-5	0	0	1
4C.Correa, SS	1-5	1	1	1
5M.Wallner, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6W.Castro, CF	1-4	0	0	1
7R.Jeffers, C	1-3	1	0	0
8J.Gallo, 1B	1-2	1	1	2
8J. Luplow, PH	1-1	1	0	0
8J. Luplow, 1B	1-1	1	0	0
9K.Farmer, 3B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Faedo, P	85	4.2	5	3
LA. Vasquez, P	5	0.1	0	0
RB.White, P	15	0.2	1	1
LT.Holton, P	30	2.1	3	0
RT.Wingenter, P	20	0.2	1	1
RJ.Cisnero, P	6	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Baddoo, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2R.Greene, CF	1-4	1	0	1
3M.Vierling, 3B	3-5	2	0	1
4S.Torkelson, 1B	2-4	3	2	2
5K.Carpenter, RF	2-5	0	0	1
6M. Cabrera, DH	3-4	0	0	0
6J.Rogers, PR	0-1	1	0	0
6J.Rogers, DH	0-1	1	0	0
7J.Baez, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8Z.McKinstry, 2B	3-4	1	0	0
9E.Haase, C	3-4	1	0	1