White Sox vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2024

White Sox at Royals

6:10 pm • BSKC

Chicago White Sox

5-12

3 - 5

Kansas City Royals

11-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Marsh			4.54	9-9
G.Crochet			3.58	6-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox 5-12	+1.5-185	o9-115	+110
Royals 11-8	-1.5+154	u9-105	-130

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

April 07, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

Under 9-108

0.93u

... home team went under by 5 and now home team is fav or slight dogs Overall: 753-544-69,58% (ROI:12%) Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-39%)

CWS +110

... can't hit or can't win buy low Overall: 205-192-0,52% (ROI:22%) Season:3-1-0,75% (ROI:73%) ... low scoring div dogs away early season Overall: 324-326-0,50% (ROI:15%) Season:2-2-0,50% (ROI:25%)

KC -125

0.8u

Under 9-110

0.91u

Over 9-115

1.15u

KC -130

CWS o4.5 Team Total+105

G.Crochet u5.5 Ks+100

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 4.47 and a 4.73% EV

G.Crochet o5.5 Ks-125

1.25u

Consecutive 8 K games after a strong spring. Showing three legit K pitches - always flashed K stuff in minors and in bullpen. 11 and 14 whiffs in both games. Royals have been solid with Ks so far this season, but I do like the matchup against their RHH platoon (likely see Hampson, Velazquez and a backup catcher).

CWS +110 (F5)

0.55u

Bet to -105

CWS +0.5 (F5)-130

0.25u

Bet to -147 or add more ML

Featured Insight
White Sox left-handed hitters struck out just 20% against RHP last season -- eighth lowest in MLB. Royals had a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters last season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Royals scored 2.3 runs per game while trailing last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB (125 games). The White Sox allowed 2.3 runs per game while leading last season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB (109 games).

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Opening Pitch: Dabbundo's MLB Bets for Sunday
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The White Sox are just 59-83 (.415) after a win since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

Luis Robert is slugging .492 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- 15th best among hitters with at least 496 total PA's-- 89th Percentile. Will Smith has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Luis Robert has 25 home runs on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Will Smith has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a first-pitch strike rate of 79% (38/48) this season -- 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 95th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has allowed an OPS of just .146 (28 PA's) with two-strikes this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .490 -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 6th	CWS	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	KC -238
Apr 5th	CWS	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -185
Apr 4th	CWS	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 8	KC -185
Apr 3rd	@BAL	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7	BAL +147
Apr 2nd	@BAL	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	KC +136

Ky Bush
P
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LG.Crochet, P	77	5	5	2
RS.Wilson, P	5	1	0	0
RD. García, P	25	0.1	1	2
RD.Leone, P	24	1.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Grossman, RF	0-5	0	0
2Y.Moncada, 3B	2-5	0	0
3G.Sheets, 1B	2-4	1	0
4A.Vaughn, DH	1-4	0	0
5A.Benintendi, LF	2-4	1	1
6D.Fletcher, CF	2-4	1	1
7B.Shewmake, SS	0-1	0	1
7L.Sosa, PH	1-2	0	0
7L.Sosa, 2B	1-2	0	0
8N.Lopez, 2B	1-3	0	0
8N.Lopez, SS	1-3	0	0
8P.DeJong, PH	0-1	0	0
8P.DeJong, SS	0-1	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	1-3	0	0
9K.Lee, PH	0-1	0	0
9K.Lee, C	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Marsh, P	78	4.2	3	3
LA.Zerpa, P	22	1.1	1	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	23	1	1	0
LW.Smith, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.McArthur, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3N.Loftin, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Frazier, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3A.Frazier, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
4S.Perez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Velazquez, LF	1-2	1	0	0
5D.Blanco, PR	0-1	1	0	0
5D.Blanco, LF	0-1	1	0	0
6M.Melendez, DH	1-3	1	1	2
7H.Renfroe, RF	1-3	1	1	2
8F.Fermin, C	2-3	1	0	0
9G.Hampson, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-1	0	0	0