Yankees vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2024

Yankees at Orioles

10:35 pm • MASN

New York Yankees

9-9

0 - 2

Baltimore Orioles

8-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4
C.Schmidt			2.85	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 9-9	+1.5-184	o9-118	+114
Orioles 8-10	-1.5+152	u9-102	-135

Monday 10:35 p.m.

April 29, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Under 9+102

BAL -130 (F5)

Under 9-102

0.98u

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 309-215-17,59% (ROI:13%) Season:9-7-1,56% (ROI:8%)

NYY +100

1.5u

I’m addicted to betting the Yankees and idk why

NYY +100

C.Schmidt u16.5 Outs-115

1.15u

Schmidt is under in 5/5 starts, three times being pulled at 16 outs. He’s really struggled the third time through the batting order - opponents are 9/16 this season, and he allowed a .915 OPS last year. BAL mashes vs righties at home: 121 wRC+. Yanks pen in decent enough shape.

C.Schmidt u16.5 Outs-110

Ballpark pal projects 4.89 ip and +ev bet with devig odds of -141 giving value to this number

BAL -130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -133

Featured Insight
Yankees have won 64% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Orioles have won just 35% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles hitters have a hard-hit rate of 47% over the last two weeks -- second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 45% against the Yankees RPs over the last two weeks -- second worst in MLB.

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The Yankees are 58-15 (.795) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

Juan Soto has an OPS of .997 this season -- eighth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of .813 (121 PAs) this season -- 10th worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

67% of Gleyber Torres fastball strikeouts are elevated since last season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 68% of Grayson Rodriguez fastball strikeouts are elevated since last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- 88th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season is 380.3 feet -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 398.4

Clarke Schmidt has struck out 37% (18/49) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (28/76) against Grayson Rodriguez this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .512 (21-for-41) against Grayson Rodriguez on low fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .274 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	ATH	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ATH -205
Apr 27th	ATH	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -194
Apr 26th	ATH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATH -290
Apr 24th	@LAA	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BAL -130
Apr 24th	@LAA	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAA -149

Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out

Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is questionable with back
Questionable

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	92	5.2	5	1
RD.Santana, P	10	1.1	0	0
LC.Ferguson, P	13	0.2	0	0
RC.Holmes, P	8	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Wells, C	1-4	0	0	0
7G.Torres, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
8O.Cabrera, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RG.Rodriguez, P	101	5.2	3
LC.Perez, P	13	1	0
RY.Cano, P	15	1.1	0
LD.Coulombe, P	12	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-3	2	1	1
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, DH	1-3	0	0	0
4A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Westburg, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8C.Cowser, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0	0