Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Yankees at Red Sox

11:15 pm • FOX

New York Yankees

3-2

4 - 8

Boston Red Sox

2-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Criswell			4.08	6-5
C.Rodon			3.96	16-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 3-2	-1.5-125	o9-111	-180
Red Sox 2-4	+1.5+105	u9-109	+150

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

June 15, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

C.Rodon o4.5 Hits Allowed-165

0.61u

C.Rodon o7.5 Ks+139

Rodon does not have strong K numbers, but they’ve are creeping up, and he’s due for a breakout with the amount of whiffs he’s been generating (L7 starts: 16, 12, 23, 4, 16, 17, 15). Now he gets the Sox who strikeout the most vs lefties in baseball, and have a lineup flush full of plus K targets. I think this is worth it at these odds. TL, DR: yes, I am playing a line that Rodon has hit all of twice in 14 starts.

NYY -1.5-120

NYY o4.5 Team Total-137

1.37u

BOS +150

0.5u

Bet to +145

NYY -165

NYY -1.5-105

1.05u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

NYY -173

1.73u

NYY -1.5+100

Under 9+100

0.25u

Small to -102

NYY -165

$1100.00

Featured Insight
Yankees had allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score last season -- fifth lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Yankees are 9-5 (.643) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Yankees are 18-7 (.720) after a road win this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .458.

The Red Sox are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Red Sox are 20-3 (.870) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .763.

29% of Rafael Devers strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 52% of Carlos Rodon's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Rafael Devers has a miss rate of 37% on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Carlos Rodon has located his fastball up 61% of the time since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 17 AB's against Carlos Rodon when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) -- tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .223 -- 100th Percentile.

Cooper Criswell has located his fastballs down 58% of the time (151/262) this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (6/32) against Cooper Criswell on sliders this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 41% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 2-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	2-3	N/A	2-3	1-1	1-2
Yankees	3-1	3-1	N/A	3-0	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	1-4	N/A	1-4	0-2	1-2
Yankees	3-1	3-1	N/A	2-1	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	1-4	N/A	1-4	1-1	0-3
Yankees	3-1	3-1	N/A	3-0	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	NYY	L 1-8	+1.5 L	U 9	NYY +124
Jun 13th	PHI	W 9-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -110
Jun 12th	PHI	W 8-6	+1.5 W	O 8	BOS +104
Jun 11th	PHI	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 8	PHI +134
Jun 9th	@CWS	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -146

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Carlos Carrasco
P
Carrasco is out with hip
Out
Gerrit Cole
P
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
DJ LeMahieu
IF
LeMahieu is out with calf
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is out with back
Out
Luis Gil
P
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Rodon, P	109	5	7	5
RR.Marinaccio, P	44	2	3	1
LV.Gonzalez, P	18	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2J.Soto, LF	1-3	1	1	1
3A.Judge, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Verdugo, RF	0-5	0	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6A.Rizzo, 1B	0-2	2	0	0
7G.Torres, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Wells, C	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Jones, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	0-0	0	0	0
9D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-4	0	0	3
9O.Cabrera, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9O.Cabrera, 3B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Criswell, P	88	4	6	2
RJ.Slaten, P	47	2.2	3	1
LB.Bernardino, P	3	0.1	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	26	0.2	1	1
RK.Jansen, P	12	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	2	1
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	2	1
2R.Refsnyder, RF	0-3	1	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	2-5	2	1
3D.Hamilton, SS	0-0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	2
5C.Wong, C	1-3	0	1
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	1	0
7J.Westbrook, 2B	1-3	0	1
7E.Valdez, PH	1-1	0	1
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-1	0	1
8B.Dalbec, 1B	0-3	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	3-4	1	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	3-4	1	0