| Betting Overview | |
|---|---|
| Divisional Odds | +130 |
| Pennant Odds | +370 |
| World Series Odds | +850 |
| Regular Season Wins | 93.5 |
| To Make Playoffs | Yes -480 / No +350 |
Odds via FanDuel. For updated MLB futures all season long, click here.
Best Bet: Yankees To Win AL East (+120)
Sean Zerillo: The Yankees underachieved by seven wins last season while ranking as the top defensive team in baseball. Just 13% of their defensive value was tied to the infield shift, so their defensive excellence should carry over into 2023, and adding an impact-free agent in Carlos Rodon raises their ceiling.
My projected win gaps between the Yankees and Blue Jays (5.8 wins) and Yankees and Rays (7.2 wins) split the difference between the aggressive projection on the Bombers from PECOTA (7.9 and 10.7 wins from Toronto and Tampa Bay) and the tighter AL East projection from ZIPS (3 and 3.3 wins differentials).
As a result, my projection would come in right around the PECOTA/ZIPS composites lines I provide for quick reference.
-150 seems a fairer price on the Yankees’ divisional odds than the market average, and I would set their World Series line closer to +650 rather than the best available price (+800 at FanDuel)
However, I prefer their AL Pennant Odds (+350 at BetMGM and Caesars) to a World Series ticket at this stage.
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