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Aaron Judge Odds to Break Home Run Record, Other Props

Aaron Judge Odds to Break Home Run Record, Other Props article feature image
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Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images Pictured: Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees

At this point, it’s more surprising if Aaron Judge goes a day without hitting a dinger.

The Yankee masher is on a torrid streak, hitting a homer in seven of his last 10 games. He mashed two bombs on Sunday for his 49th and 50th home runs on the year. In the process, he became the fifth player to hit at least 50 in three separate seasons, joining Babe Ruth, Mark McGwire, Sammy Sosa and Alex Rodriguez.

Sportsbooks are offering several Judge props as the public gets swept up in his prolific power output. FanDuel has him favored to hit at least 63 home runs – which would break his own American League record – at -110. He’s also listed at +240 to hit at least 65 and +2700 to mash 70 or more.

Judge isn’t just hitting homers, though. He’s dominating across the board. He has a legit chance to become only the 13th Triple Crown winner in league history, which is when a player leads the league in batting average, home runs and RBIs. The last player to do so was Miguel Cabrera in 2012.

We already know Judge is pacing the field with 50 home runs, which is 14 more than the next closest hitter (Anthony Santander). However, he also leads the league in RBIs (122) by a healthy margin over the next closest player in Jose Ramirez, who has 103.  That leaves only batting average, in which he ranks second (.333) behind only the RoyalsBobby Witt Jr. (.347).

So, can he accomplish the rare feat?

FanDuel’s asking that very same question, offering it at +520 to do so and -900 to miss out.

Meanwhile, Judge is a heavy favorite to win his second AL MVP. He’s -3000 at DraftKings, which is far ahead of the rest of the top five in Witt Jr. (+1100), Juan Soto (+5000), Gunnar Henderson (+5000) and Jose Ramirez (+10000).  The entire field is +1000.

About the Author
Ricky Henne writes for the Action Network's news team, covering all sports, events and breaking news. He also contributes to Action's NFL coverage. Ricky joined Action in 2022 with more than 20 years of experience covering professional sports. He wrote for the Los Angeles Chargers, New York Knicks and New York Rangers before entering the sports betting industry.

Follow Ricky Henne @rickyhenne on Twitter/X.

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