Astros vs. Angels Odds
Astros | -130 |
Angels | +110 |
Total | 10 (-110 / -110) |
Date | Sunday, July 16 |
Time | 7:10 p.m. ET |
TV | ESPN |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Sunday afternoon.
The Los Angeles Angels wrap up a three-game series with the Houston Astros at Angel Stadium for ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball.
The Astros won the first game 7-5, and then the Angels rallied to defeat the Astros 13-12 in extra innings on Saturday night.
Tyler Anderson will be on the bump for the Angels while the Astros will go with Christian Javier to try and close out the series.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on an Alex Bregman player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication is expecting Bregman to get his bat hot against the left-hander Anderson.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Alex Bregman Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Bregman has struggled to get his bat going this season. The perennial All-Star is batting just .238 this season with 12 home runs and 56 RBI.
Bregman has found a way to get a hit in each of the first two games in the series, But he struck out three times in Friday's game.
The model indicates the likelihood of Bregman tallying at least one RBI is higher than what the sportsbooks believe. BetMGM has set the total for over 0.5 RBI at +140, while the under is -185. That's the best price on the over in the market.
The model predicts Bregman will have 0.8 RBI tonight, good enough for about a 12% betting edge on the under.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.