Astros vs. Athletics Odds
Astros | -225 |
Athletics | +180 |
Total | 8.5 (-115 / -105) |
Date | Thursday, July 20 |
Time | 9:40 p.m. ET |
TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Thursday afternoon.
The Houston Astros begin a three-game series with the Oakland Athletics on Thursday evening at the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.
The Astros sit 26 games ahead of the A's and are in second place in the AL West.
J.P. France will be on the bump for the Astros while the Athletics will go with Hogan Harris.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on an Alex Bregman player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication is expecting Bregman to get his bat hot against the left-handed Harris.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
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Alex Bregman Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Bregman has struggled to get his bat going this season. The two-time All-Star is batting just .247 this season with 13 home runs and 59 RBI.
However, Bregman has sneakily been heating up. His batting average has risen close to 10 points since the All-Star break and he has three RBI in his last three games.
The model indicates the likelihood of Bregman tallying at least one RBI is higher than what the sportsbooks believe. BetMGM has set the total for over 0.5 RBI at +145, while the under is -190. That's the best price on the over in the market.
The model predicts Bregman will have 0.8 RBI tonight, good enough for about a 12% betting edge on the over.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.