First and foremost, I want to provide a PSA to those who are solely focused on the betting analysis of this game. It may get a bit dusty in here, so please allow me a brief moment in time to relieve some childhood nostalgia.
Although the Midsummer Classic has lost some of its luster over the years, it's the best All-Star game in professional sports. Growing up as a die-hard sports fan, I can't remember the last time I watched an NBA All-Star Game, Pro Bowl or NHL All-Star Game.
There has always been something special about the MLB Midsummer Classic. I wish it still determined who would receive home-field advantage in the World Series, but I still get amped up to watch the game each year.
With that said, I decided to create a juicy SGP to spice things up to the next level. I crafted a four-leg same-game parlay that pays out over 60-1 depending on which sportsbook is used.
There isn't much going on in American sports this week, so plenty of sportsbooks offer SGP/parlay boosts for tonight's game. As always, shop for the best payout you can find. Read on for my MLB All-Star Game parlay, which includes prop picks for Trea Turner, the moneyline and over/under.
Remember to bet responsibly — this is a long shot for a reason.
MLB All-Star Game Parlay: SGP Picks
- Trea Turner to Record a Hit (+100)
- Trea Turner to Steal a Base (+750)
- National League ML +100
- Under 7.5 (-118)
Parlay Odds: +6041 (DraftKings)
Trea Turner
To Record a Hit (+100)
Turner has terrific numbers against Corbin Burnes in the past. Given that he's projected to face him only one time, we're getting an inflated price.
Turner is 4-for-10 lifetime against Burnes, and he has been one of the most dominant hitters in the NL since returning from his injury.
Turner's groove makes me think he's going to be aggressive early in the count, and he should be able to exploit Burnes for a base knock.
Trea Turner
To Steal a Base (+750)
I absolutely love this prop, but there's a reason it's the biggest longshot of the SGP. Theoretically, we're betting that a Turner hit will be followed up by a steal.
Turner has 12 steals on the season, mostly because he has missed a good chunk of the season with an injury. However, he has stolen three bases over the last two weeks, so he can definitely swipe a bag when he needs to.
Burnes has allowed 13 steals on 15 attempts on the season, which is already bypassing a career-high of 11 steals against. This tells me teams have figured out a tell in Burnes' delivery that allows them to get better jumps than usual.
It could have something to do with his battery mate, Adley Rutschman. Well, luckily for us, Rutschman is behind the dish tonight for Burnes, which eliminates any extra variables for the particular statistic.
We call this threading the needle, but I think both Turner props are live.
The National League is sick of hearing how the American League dominates every year, and I would not be surprised to see manager Torey Lovullo give Turner the green light if he smashes a base hit in the first inning.
National League ML +100
The AL has won 28 of the last 34 All-Star Games, but tonight is a great opportunity for the NL to get back on track. To me, the NL is a far more balanced club compared to the AL.
The AL might have the upper hand in the early going with its ferocious lineup, but the reserves for the NL are much deeper than its opponent's.
The NL will be in great shape if it can reach the fourth or fifth inning with a small lead or a tie game. Outside of the upper echelon of the AL's pitching staff, it's backloaded with a bunch of pitchers who are either overperforming or giving up too much hard contact to my liking.
It's also worth noting that Oakland's Mason Miller began the year as one of baseball's most dominant pitchers but has trended in the wrong direction over the past month or so.
I think the NL makes a statement, and its reserves will make a big difference.
Under 7.5 (-118)
I'm typically not a big trends bettor, but there are a few things in life that are certain: death, taxes and college football service academy unders. It's time for MLB All-Star Game unders to get added to the list.
The under has gone 14-3 in the last 17 ASGs. Why? Pitching continues to dominate the sport, the baseballs aren't as juiced and every casual bettor in the world loves taking an All-Star Game over.
Many may think the under is a trendy pick now, but I don't think the market has adjusted enough yet.
The pitching staffs on both sides are absolutely electric, and given that the big boppers of each starting lineup are going to be limited to one at-bat each, it gives me more incentive to include the under in the SGP.
If trends aren't enough, take a look at some ballpark analysis from Action Network's Sean Zerillo:
The roof will be closed at Globe Life Field on Tuesday.
Over the past three seasons, the stadium has a 102 Park Factor for run-scoring — the ninth-highest in MLB. However, Globe Life Field has played as an extreme pitcher's park in 2024 (85 Park Factor, 29th) compared to 2023 (112, fifth) and 2022 (104, eighth).
