Angels vs Athletics Odds, Pick & Prediction (7/3)
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Angels vs Athletics Odds, Pick & Prediction (7/3)
| Los Angeles Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
-112 | 8.5 -118o / -102u | -1.5 +150 |
| Oakland Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
-108 | 8.5 -118o / -102u | +1.5 -180 |
Angels pitcher Davis Daniel was dominant in his first start of the season against Detroit, throwing eight scoreless innings while recording eight strikeouts and earning the win. He'll get a solid opportunity to record his second win on Wednesday as he takes on the Athletics at the Coliseum.
Oakland's Joey Estes will make his second consecutive start against the Angels on Wednesday. He allowed two earned runs in five innings last week at Angel Stadium and holds an ERA of 5.25 in 46 1/3 innings this season.
Where does the betting value lie in this matchup? Let's make an Angels vs Athletics prediction as we take a look at the MLB odds for Wednesday, July 3.
Los Angeles Angels
Daniel will look to follow up his surprisingly dominant season debut on Wednesday. The 27-year-old righty has pitched to a 5.33 ERA and 1.50 WHIP across 76 innings in Triple-A.
He put up a Stuff+ rating of 70 against the Tigers and featured an average fastball velocity of 91.7. His Location+ rating came in at 113, as his command was clearly on point in his initial outing.
The Angels offense enters this matchup in pretty reasonable form. They own a wRC+ of 101 over the last 30 days with a wOBA of .314.
Los Angeles has been quite solid against righties, in particular, over the last month, owning a wRC+ of 105 and an OPS of .728. It has made soft contact just 14.5% of the time in that span and owns the eighth-best BB/K ratio at 0.45.
Ron Washington should field the same lineup we've typically seen over that frame with Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon remaining the only injured position players.
Oakland Athletics
Estes enters this matchup after improving from a runs-allowed perspective. He has pitched to an ERA of 4.11 over his last five starts.
However, his underlying metrics have not improved over that span. In his last five outings, he has been hit hard 44% of the time and struck out 19% of batters faced — numbers that are right in line with his season-long averages.
Estes owns an xERA of 4.29, an xFIP of 4.76 and a K/BB ratio of 3.25 this season.
Opponents don't swing and miss often — they own a whiff rate of just 21% versus Estes' breaking pitches this season — which hasn't helped his struggles of putting batters away.
The Athletics offense enters this matchup with a wRC+ of 85 over the last 30 days. However, that mark drops to 80 against righties.
Angels vs Athletics
Betting Pick & Prediction
While both of these starters enter this matchup off strong outings, we can't expect many quality starts moving forward.
The Angels have quietly been a tougher matchup for right-handed pitchers over the last month, and they should put some quality at-bats together against Estes.
On the other side, Daniel's arsenal likely won't play too well at the big-league level. Although he's getting another favorable matchup in his second start here, it still looks like a solid opportunity to fade him.
The first-five inning total looks a little low considering how easy it is to see one — or both — of these starters falter early on. There's value on the F5 over 4.5 at anything better than -115.
Pick: F5 Over 4.5 (-110 · Play to -115)
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