MLB Astros vs. Red Sox Props, Picks: Target Enrique Hernández’s Total Bases In ALCS Game 5 (October 20)

MLB Astros vs. Red Sox Props, Picks: Target Enrique Hernández’s Total Bases In ALCS Game 5 (October 20) article feature image
Credit:

Maddie Meyer/Getty Images. Pictured: Enrique Hernandez

  • The Red Sox are looking to rebound from Tuesday night's disappointing ALCS Game 4 result.
  • Enrique Hernández has been a playoff hero many times already this October, can he do it again tonight?
  • Continue reading for a full breakdown of the props market for Wednesday, including a play on Hernández.

The prop market is a little tougher to project today. However, our team believes there's one position player that provides value.

Kiké Hernández has been red-hot this postseason, and his total bases prop provides value yet again tonight.

Read on for our best MLB player prop for today's LCS action.

MLB Player Props & Picks

Enrique Hernández Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Red Sox vs. AstrosRed Sox (-130)
Time 5:08 p.m. ET
Best LineDraftKings

Hernández was off Tuesday night, going 1-for-5 in the 9-2 loss to the Astros. However, he's been too hot this postseason to ignore, and he has a good matchup today.

Framber Valdez is on the mound for Houston, and Hernández is 5-for-13 lifetime off him with two home runs. More impressively, he's recorded a 92.7 mph average exit velocity in those ABs while whiffing at just a 10.5% rate.

Hernández makes contact off Valdez, and it's often hard contact. That's good for prop bettors.

Hernández is working on a seven-game hit streak, and he's cashed his bases prop in five of those games. He's accumulated a whopping 37 bases during this stretch, posting a 1.401 OPS this postseason.

Meanwhile, Valdez has allowed six runs in his 6 1/3 innings of 2021 postseason action, and opposing batters are slugging .548 against him.

It's uncertain how deep into this game Valdez will go, but considering Houston went for a bullpen day in the victory yesterday, I'm expecting Kiké to have at least two opportunities against him.

Let's hope he takes advantage of those. If not, Hernández will still have ample opportunity against a stretched-out Astros bullpen.

I like this prop down to +110.

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About the Author
Tanner recently joined the Action Network team to cover college basketball. He’s a McGill University grad and former (Canadian) Division I alpine ski racer who now spends his time drinking beer and betting home underdogs. The Falcons blew a 28-3 lead in Super Bowl 51.

Follow Tanner McGrath @tannerstruth on Twitter/X.

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