Betting odds: Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox
- Over/Under: 8.5
- First Pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Probable Pitchers: Felix Pena (1-4, 4.19 ERA) vs. Carlos Rodon (6-4, 2.89 ERA)
Zylbert's 2018 MLB Over/Under Betting Record: 91-60-4, +24.7 units
Yesterday's Result: Indians-Blue Jays Over 9, Bieber vs. Gaviglio (WIN)
*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit
It's taken him a while, but Rodon, the third pick of the 2014 draft, looks like he's finally settled in for the White Sox.
Since coming off the disabled list to make his season debut in June, the 25-year-old southpaw has posted a 6-4 record to go along with a 2.89 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and .181 batting average against — that last number would have him ranked third in the majors (!) had he amassed enough innings to qualify.
Even though he doesn't have enough innings to qualify for the league leaderboard, Rodon has still pitched 99.2 innings in 15 starts, and that's a decent sample size upon which we can base our pick.
In fact, the Miami native has done a terrific job eating up innings, going at least five frames each time. He's even gone at least six innings in each of his last 10 starts.
Under the hood things check out, too. Rodon has posted career lows in line-drive rate (15.1%) and hard contact (27.2%), according to Fangraphs.
Rodon should be buoyed by tonight's opponent, as the Angels struggle mightily against left-handed pitchers. Their .225 batting average against southpaws is the worst mark in MLB.
Opposite Rodon will be Peña, who has also been in the process of proving himself this season.
The reliever-turned-starter has made 13 starts this season, and in all but two of them, he allowed three runs or fewer. He's also had success against the White Sox, limiting them to two runs and seven baserunners in six innings in July.
The reason I'm confident in Peña tonight is that he'll be pitching on the road. His splits away from Anaheim (2.14 ERA and .216 BAA) sparkle compare to the numbers (6.17 ERA and .264 BAA) he posted at home.
Get this bet in as soon as you can, with the juice indicating the over/under line might slide down a notch.
Play: UNDER 8.5 (-120)
