The Minnesota Twins have the Toronto Blue Jays on the ropes this afternoon as they can advance with a victory.
Minnesota came out swinging in Game 1 as Royce Lewis smashed a pair of homers off of Blue Jays ace Kevin Gausman.
Minnesota's pitching staff also did an excellent job of silencing the Blue Jays' lineup without having to dig deep into its pen.
Game 2 should be exciting as the Jays have their backs against the wall while the Twins look to win their first playoff series since 2002.
What better way to enjoy this matchup than with some value-packed player props? Let's dive into the best ones on the board.
Blue Jays vs. Twins Game 2 Props
Jose Berrios Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-145)
We're going right back to the well with a Blue Jays starter strikeout prop.
Yesterday, Gausman got the strikeouts going, but it was too little too late, as his command issues forced an early exit just after he settled down.
However, you have to like Berrios today for many of the same reasons. He has the best possible matchup for strikeouts and he's shown that he can exceed this number many times this season.
Berrios has recorded at least five strikeouts in 69% of his starts this season. That gives us implied odds of -223 that he'll go over again on Wednesday.
To go along with that, our Action Labs projections are in agreement with this over, as they have Berrios slated for 6.2 strikeouts.
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Matt Chapman Over 0.5 Total Bases (-140)
We go from the mound to the dish, where Matt Chapman offers some value against Sonny Gray. Gray has, in a large part, dominated this Blue Jays lineup, but Chapman is the one guy who's seen the ball pretty well.
Chapman is 3-for-8 with one homer and two strikeouts against Gray.
What's interesting is that he has an average exit velocity of 90 mph and an average launch angle of 13.7 degrees off of Gray, which points to him likely finding extra bases when putting the ball in play.
Let's not forget that Chapman is also coming off of a career-best season in terms of contact metrics. He was tied for the league lead in hard-hit rate (with Aaron Judge) while also finishing in the top five in barrel rate and average exit velocity.
So, on top of a solid matchup, we're also getting some substantial line value as well. Chapman went over this total in 63% of the games he played in this season, which gives us implied odds of -170.
Back Chapman to tally one in the hit column.
Royce Lewis Over 0.5 RBI (+180)
Lewis' status was up in the air coming into the series, as he's been nursing a hamstring injury.
Well, he made it clear in Game 1 that, even on a bad hamstring, he still has plenty of power.
Lewis clobbered two homers early in Game 1 to set the tone and led the Twins to victory. We've seen guys get hot in the postseason and carry their clubs, and Lewis may be that guy for Minnesota.
His performance yesterday continued his hot streak of run production. Lewis has knocked in a run in 44% of the games he's played in this season. That gives us implied odds of +127.
So, we have a guy who's red hot, with line value and he's planted right in the middle of the Twins' order.
