Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds
Blue JaysOdds | +120 |
MarinersOdds | -145 |
Total | 8.5 (+120 / -145) |
Date | Sunday, July 23 |
Time | 4:10 p.m. ET |
TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Sunday afternoon.
The Toronto Blue Jays wrap up a three-game series with the Seattle Mariners on Sunday night at T-Mobile Park. The Mariners have won both games of the series so far by one run.
Alex Manoah will be on the bump for the Blue Jays, while Bryan Woo will start for the Mariners in Sunday's matinee.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Woo player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication is expecting Woo to struggle to record strikeouts against the Blue Jays.
It's a bet on the under.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Bryan Woo Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Woo has made eight starts in his rookie season with the Mariners. The 23-year-old right-hander boasts a 1-2 record to go with his 4.74 ERA.
Woo was torched by the Minnesota Twins in his last start. He allowed six earned runs on eight hits and two home runs. Woo has now had four strikeouts or fewer in each of his last two games.
The model indicates the likelihood of Woo hitting the over on his strikeouts is lower than what sportsbooks believe. BetMGM has set the total for over 6.5 strikeouts at -105, while the under sits at -120. That's the best price on the under in the market.
The model predicts Woo will have 5.5 strikeouts this afternoon, good enough for close to a 15% betting edge on the under.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.