Padres vs. Phillies Odds
Padres | +105 |
Phillies | -125 |
Total | 10.5 (-105 / -115) |
Date | Saturday, July 15 |
Time | 7:05 p.m. ET |
TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Saturday afternoon.
The San Diego Padres face the Philadelphia Phillies in the second game of a doubleheader on Saturday night.
The Padres won the first game of the series on Friday night and the Phillies evened up the series this afternoon.
Taijuan Walker will be on the bump for the Phillies, while Ryan Weathers will start for the Padres in the second game on Saturday.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Bryce Harper player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication is expecting Harper stay hot against the Padres.
It's a bet on the over.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Ready to place your bets? Head over to BetMGM for the best markets, parlays, player props and more across the entire sports landscape!
Bryce Harper Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Harper has been having a solid season at the dish (.290 batting average), but has yet to find his power stroke coming off Tommy John surgery.
The Phillies star has just three homers and 23 RBI, but has still been very productive offensively. Harper's had a hit in nine of his past 11 games and will be facing a pitcher (Weathers) that is 1-5 with a 6.08 ERA.
The model indicates the likelihood of Harper tallying at least one RBI is higher than what the sportsbooks believe. BetMGM has set the total for over 0.5 RBI at +145, while the under is -190. That's the best price on the over in the market.
The model predicts Harper will have 1.4 RBI tonight, good enough for about a 33.8% betting edge on the over.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.