Tigers vs. Phillies Odds
| Tigers | +145 |
| Phillies | -175 |
| Total | 9 (-120 / +100) |
| Date | Tuesday, June 6 |
| Time | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | Local |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Tuesday afternoon.
The Detroit Tigers face the Philadelphia Phillies in the second game of a three-game series on Tuesday night.
The Phillies won the first game 8-3 on Monday night as they're in the midst of a three-game win streak after losing five straight games.
Taijuan Walker will be on the bump for the Phillies while Tyler Alexander will pitch for the Tigers.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Bryce Harper player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication is expecting Harper to keep his bat hot against the left-hander Alexander.
It's a bet on the over.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Bryce Harper Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Harper has been having a solid season so far at the dish (.303 batting average), but he has yet to find the power he typically owns, with only three home runs and nine RBI this season.
He flashed last night against the Tigers by posting his ninth RBI of the season.
The model indicates the likelihood of Harper racking up at least one RBI is higher than what the sportsbooks believe. BetMGM has set the total for over 0.5 RBI tonight at +155, while the under is -200. That's the best price on the over in the market.
Harper has recorded just one RBI in his last eight games, but there's reason to believe he's about to heat up.
According to Statcast, Harper's hard hit percentage is down to 45.6 this season. In the last three previous seasons, it was over two percentages higher.
As he gets more comfortable at the plate, he's bound to get more extra base hits and home runs, which will lead to more RBI.
Harper has never faced Alexander in his career.
The model predicts Harper will have 0.8 RBI tonight. That's good enough for about a 14% betting edge on the over.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Bryce Harper Over 0.5 RBI (+155)
