We have a stacked 15-game MLB slate on Tuesday, which means there are plenty of entries to sift through on PrizePicks.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: You can combine up to five different player squares to pay out up to 10x your entry.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play provides lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach Tuesday's MLB slate for PrizePicks.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player picks in which you combine two or more entries together.
Paul Goldschmidt Fantasy Score More Than 7
Cardinals vs. Braves, 7:20 p.m. ET | Miles Mikolas vs. Mike Soroka
Right-hander Michael Soroka takes the mound for the Atlanta Braves against the St. Louis Cardinals and should be a good fade candidate.
With the shoulder injury to Kyle Wright, the Braves recalled Soroka from Triple-A, and they are likely hoping it is only a quick stint. The right-hander has struggled when given an opportunity this season, posting a 5.52 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in six appearances.
His underlying metrics suggest that positive regression is unlikely as Soroka owns a 5.52 xERA and .278 xBA.
That brings us to Paul Goldschmidt, who is putting together yet another tremendous campaign. He ranks in the 80th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xSLG, average exit velocity and Hard-Hit%.
This success is likely to continue against Soroka, against whom Goldschmidt boasts a .381 xBA, .625 xSLG and .457 xwOBA in nine career plate appearances.
Matt Olson Fantasy Score More Than 8
Cardinals vs. Braves, 7:20 p.m. ET | Miles Mikolas vs. Mike Soroka
We are also going to back a couple of Atlanta hitters as right-hander Miles Mikolas takes the mound for St. Louis.
It has been a tough year for the veteran hurler, who is 6-10 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 29 starts. His underlying metrics suggest that even further regression is likely as Mikolas owns a 4.97 xERA and .284 xBA.
This further regression is likely to come to fruition against the powerhouse Braves, or at least power-hitter Matt Olson. Olson leads the NL with 44 home runs and boasts a .266 BA, .581 SLG and .954 OPS.
His analytics are also among the best in baseball, ranking in the 95th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xSLG, average exit velocity, Barrel% and Hard-Hit%.
Olson is 3-for-6 in his career against Mikolas. Those three hits? A home run and two doubles.
Ronald Acuña Jr. Fantasy Score More Than 10
Cardinals vs. Braves, 7:20 p.m. ET | Miles Mikolas vs. Mike Soroka
The other Braves hitter to back is NL MVP candidate Ronald Acuña Jr. Acuña is putting together a historic season and possesses a .335 BA, .578 SLG and .994 OPS with 32 homers and a superb 63 stolen bases, making him the first player in history with 30+ home runs and 60+ swiped bags.
His underlying metrics are ridiculous at this point, ranking in the 99th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xBA, xSLG and average exit velocity. Entering this contest in particularly good form, Acuña has surpassed this figure in three of his past four games, averaging 18.8 fantasy points over that stretch.
Through 19 career plate appearances against Mikolas, he boasts a .313 xBA, .455 xSLG and .349 xwOBA.
