Dodgers vs. Rockies Odds
| DodgersOdds | -275 |
| RockiesOdds | +230 |
| Total | 11.5 (-115 / -105) |
| Date | Tuesday, June 27 |
| Time | 8:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Tuesday afternoon.
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday for a three-game battle between division rivals.
The Rockies are coming off one of the more interesting series of the season. They won two of their three games over the Angels but were embarrassed in the midst by losing, 25-1, on Saturday night.
Tonight, they face Clayton Kershaw — an old foe they've seen plenty of times who has shown few signs of slowing down.
Kershaw is 9-4 this season with a 2.72 ERA. He may not be as dominant as he once was, but he's still one of the top pitchers in the majors.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Kershaw player prop at BetMGM, and it's expecting the left-hander to have his way against the Rockies.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of the game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Clayton Kershaw Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Kershaw loves pitching against the Rockies.
He has had plenty of success at home against the Rockies, including a no-hitter. The veteran has pitched well at Coors Field as well despite it being historically difficult for opposing pitchers.
Kershaw owns an 11-8 record with a 4.82 ERA in his career at Coors Field. The model thinks he should have no problem striking out a poor Rockies lineup.
The model indicates Kershaw's strikeout total for Dodgers vs. Rockies is way too low. BetMGM has set his strikeout total tonight at 6.5, with +115 to the over and -150 to the under. That's the best price on the over in the market.
Kershaw is averaging 1.16 K/9 so far this season and has gone at least six innings in each of his last four starts. He has racked up seven or more strikeouts in eight of his 15 starts this season. Furthermore, he has averaged 0.94 K/9 in his 26 starts at Coors Field.
The model predicts Kershaw will have 7.5 strikeouts against the Rockies, which is good enough for a 14.8% betting edge on the over.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Clayton Kershaw Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+115)
