Cal Quantrill will be tasked with shutting down the Dodgers red-hot offense Saturday, which could be a tall order for a pitcher sporting a 6.16 ERA since the All-Star break, and a 4.99 ERA on the road.
Quantrill will be opposed by Walker Buehler, who has stabilized to a more respectable level of late for a Dodgers side in dire need of starters to step up right now.
Rockies vs Dodgers Predictions
- Rockies vs Dodgers pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-125 | Play to -135)
My Rockies-Dodgers best bet is on Dodgers -1.5, where I see value at -135. The best line is available at Bet365, as well as other sportsbooks — make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Dodgers Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-120 | 8.5 -115 / -105 | -1.5 +140 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+100 | 8.5 -115 / -105 | +1.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Cal Quantrill | Stat | RHP Walker Buehler |
|---|---|---|
| 8-10 | W-L | 1-5 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.3 |
| 4.68/5.12 | ERA /xERA | 5.54/5.02 |
| 5.11/4.82 | FIP / xFIP | 5.89/4.67 |
| 1.47 | WHIP | 1.62 |
| 6.8% | K-BB% | 9.3% |
| 43.6% | GB% | 43.6% |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 96 | Location+ | 102 |
Nick Martin’s Rockies vs Dodgers Preview
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview: Rocky Road for Cal Quantrill
It's been an ugly finish to the year for Quantrill, who has put up a 6.16 ERA over his last 38 innings pitched, with an xFIP of 5.79. He returned from the injured list Sunday versus the Cubs, and was not particularly sharp allowing four hits and two earned runs in just two and a third innings of work.
In his last five starts Quantrill has been hard hit 47% of the time and allowed an xBA of .294. He holds a Pitching+ rating of 92 in that span.
Quantrill's struggles go beyond simply suffering at Coors Field, as he has actually fared slightly worse overall on the road this season (4.99 ERA).
Since August 1st the Rockies rank 30th in MLB with a wRC+ of 81 versus right-handed pitching. They have struck-out more than anybody else in that span (28.6%).
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Ohtani Leads Resurgent Lineup
The Dodgers likely aren't keen to have Buehler starting games this postseason, but it's not out of the realm of possibility given all the injuries among the starting staff. He looks to be trending in the right direction at least, as he holds a 4.74 ERA across his last five starts.
In those outings Buehler holds a Pitching+ rating of 101, and an xFIP of 4.85.
Shohei Ohtani's incredible recent play is garnering a lot of the headlines, but the Dodgers lineup has altogether been dominant of late. Over the last 14 days the Dodgers hold a wRC+ of 140, and rank first in BB/K at 0.51.
Over the last month of play the Dodgers have hit to a wRC+ of 123 against right-handed pitching, and Rank first in BB/K at 0.51 in that span.
Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis
Buehler has been taking steps in the right direction recently, and gets to face arguably the softest lineup in baseball in this matchup. He's far from the pitcher he once was, but Buehler still looks to offer a clear edge over Quantrill right now given his improved form.
Quantrill gets the drastically tougher matchup facing an offense averaging 6.3 runs per game over the last month, and is backed by a middling bullpen.
This looks like a good spot to lay it with the Dodgers as a huge favorite. Even at -125 to cover the run-line I see value backing L.A. to win comfortably.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 -125 (Bet365, Play to -135)
Moneyline
The Dodgers are 49-26 at home this season. The Dodgers are 86-48 as a favorite.
The Rockies are 23-56 on the road this season. The Rockies are 56-93 as an underdog.
Run Line (Spread)
The Dodgers are 41-34 ATS at home. The Dodgers are 72-62 ATS as a favorite.
The Rockies are 35-44 ATS on the road. The Rockies are 73-76 ATS as an underdog.
Over/Under
Totals are 43-29-3 (O/U) when Los Angeles is home this season. Totals are 76-54-4 when Los Angeles is a favorite.
Totals are 42-37 when the Colorado is the road team. Totals are 73-75-1 (O/U) when Colorado is an underdog.
Rockies vs Dodgers Betting Trends
97% of the bets and 87% of the money is on the Dodgers moneyline. 92% of the bets and 90% of the money is on the over. 92% of the bets and 97% of the money is on the Dodgers to cover the run-line.
Rockies Betting Trends
- The Rockies are 2-3 in their last five games
- The Rockies are 4-6 in their last ten road games
- The total has gone OVER in two of the last five Rockies games
DodgersBetting Trends
- The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last five games
- The Dodgers are 6-4 in their last ten home games
- The total has gone OVER in the last five Dodgers games
