A whole boatload of contrarian MLB picks are lined up in PRO Systems this Friday – with a bit of variety sprinkled in.
Our fade-the-public betting models highlighted four MLB predictions on the full slate tonight across both moneyline and over/under markets.
Betting against the public isn't always foolproof, and we aren't biased to it. In fact, one of our PRO Systems in a different sport (WNBA) actually advises tailing the public as a strategic approach. In PRO, our contrarian philosophy involves wagering against the data we gather in our trackers, with more importance given to money percentages over ticket counts.
Basically, four MLB picks Friday are extremely popular – but may actually be overvalued.
Loaded with this crucial information, let's unveil the top recommendations for today's MLB betting cards,
Contrarian MLB Picks | Top Moneyline, Over/Under Predictions (Aug. 2)
The "Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams" PRO System suggests betting the under when two winning MLB teams face off, especially if 66% or more of the bets are on the over. This contrarian strategy has yielded a 54% win rate historically.
At the time of writing, the Phillies vs. Mariners over (8) and Orioles vs. Guardians over (9) are attracting 95% of the money. Both games feature teams above .500, therefore, the system flags both unders as solid strategies tonight.
PRO System Pick: Phillies vs. Mariners Under 8
PRO System Pick: Orioles vs. Guardians Under 9
Next up is our moneyline PRO system labeled "Betting Against the Public."
Tonight, the Yankees are a popular bet to beat the Blue Jays. Also, the consensus opinion is the Twins will rout the lowly White Sox.
However, due to situational factors, both the Blue Jays (+135) and White Sox (+249) check the boxes for this model, which accounts for divisional underdogs and interesting betting activity.
PRO System Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline
PRO System Pick: White Sox Moneyline
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that's where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
