Cubs vs. Mets Odds
| Cubs Odds | -105 |
| Mets Odds | -115 |
| Total | 9 (-115 / -105) |
| Date | Wednesday, Aug. 9 |
| Time | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB Network |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Wednesday afternoon.
The New York Mets wrap-up a three-game series with the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday night at Citi Field.
David Peterson will be on the bump for the Mets, while Kyle Hendricks starts for the Cubs.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Peterson player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication expects a high strikeout total for Peterson against the Cubs.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
David Peterson Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Peterson has bounced back and forth from the bullpen and the starting rotation for the Mets this season.
After the Mets dealt starting pitchers Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer, it appears Peterson will likely finish the season in the starting rotation.
Peterson has been significantly better at home than on the road this season. He has a 2.67 ERA at Citi Field this season. On the road, his ERA has ballooned to 7.75.
BetMGM has set his strikeout total at 3.5 with -150 juice to the over, while the under sits at +115. That's the best price on the under in the market.
The model predicts Peterson will have 4.9 strikeouts tonight, good enough for an 11.6% betting edge.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: David Peterson Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-150)
