Diamondbacks Could Become Most Unlikely World Series Winner in History, According to Odds

Diamondbacks Could Become Most Unlikely World Series Winner in History, According to Odds article feature image
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PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA – OCTOBER 23: Corbin Carroll #7 of the Arizona Diamondbacks scores a run in the fifth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies during Game Six of the Championship Series at Citizens Bank Park on October 23, 2023 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images)

The Diamondbacks could be in line to become the most unlikely World Series winner in history, according to preseason championship odds.

Arizona was a consensus +12500 to win the World Series during spring training, which would make them the longest winners in history. Now, they're one step closer after beating the Phillies in hostile territory to make their first World Series since 2001.

Already, the Diamondbacks would be the third-longest team to ever win a pennant, behind the 1991 Atlanta Braves and 2008 Tampa Bay Rays, who both lost in the World Series.

For what it's worth, the Rangers — who clinched with a Game 7 victory over the Astros last night — would become the fourth-longest team to ever win a World Series. They're already tied for the seventh-most unlikely team to win a pennant in MLB history.

Longest Preseason World Series Odds, Make Final — Since 1985

+ 1991 ATL 200-1 — L
+ 2008 TB 150-1 — L
+ 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟑 𝐀𝐑𝐈 𝟏𝟐𝟓-𝟏 (𝐈𝐅 𝐖𝐈𝐍!)
+ 2006 DET 100-1 — L
+ 1991 MIN 80-1 — W
+ 2007 COL 75-1 — L
+ 2003 FLA 75-1 — W
+ 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟑 𝐓𝐄𝐗 𝟓𝟎-𝟏
+ 1987 MIN 50-1 — W pic.twitter.com/3lZfWW1dZh

— Evan Abrams (@EvanHAbrams) October 24, 2023

The odds don't favor Arizona to pull it off tonight, though — albeit, barely.

The Diamondbacks are a market-best +151 to win tonight on the road at WynnBet.

Arizona had been just +430 to make the playoffs and +5000 to win the NL pennant. If you had placed a $100 bet on the Diamondbacks to win the NL preseason, you could stand to win $5,000 — or, you could hedge and win about $1,825 by putting $3,175 at BetMGM on the Phillies to win tonight's Game 7 tilt.

As it stands, the Diamondbacks would have the lowest win total in history for a World Series winner, too, at just 75.5 games.

A $100 Bet on a Diamondbacks vs. Rangers World Series Would Have Paid $23,000 Image
About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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