Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Prediction: A Contrarian MLB Betting System, Algorithm Pick (August 15)

Dodgers vs. Brewers Odds, Prediction: A Contrarian MLB Betting System, Algorithm Pick (August 15) article feature image
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Denis Poroy/Getty Images. Pictured: Christian Yelich and Tyrone Taylor

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Dodgers Odds-172
Brewers Odds+144
Over/Under7.5 (o -110 / u -110)
DateMonday, August 15
Time8:10 p.m. ET
ChannelMLB.TV

*Odds as of Monday afternoon and via FanDuel

This Monday night matchup lines up with a historically-profitable system that has registered an 8% return on investment since 2005.

That's eight cents in return for every dollar wagered over the past decade, on average.

If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit the betting system over that timeframe, you'd be up about $8,825. That's roughly $525 per year.

That's over a lengthy sample size of about 1,100 games. Substantial data sets like this one, of course, ensure statistical significance.

This line fades the public heavily, according to the Action Network's proprietary tracking data. And that's exactly what this betting trend factors in — teams that have been undervalued in the market by retail bettors.

We don't recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regards to gains over a long time horizon.

In addition, our proprietary MLB algorithms indicate value on another line that involves this game.

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Dodgers vs. Brewers Betting Pick

The 8% ROI betting system targets teams that have been on a losing streak that the retail bettors are fading.

More than 74% of the retail bettors need to be on the favorite's spread in order to fade it.

In addition, the team the retail bettors are riding needs to have at least a 60% win percentage.

This is perfect for the Brewers' spread tonight at a market-best price of +1.5 (-115) at BetMGM (check real-time MLB odds here).

The retail bettors ride the Dodgers every game, and tonight isn't an exception.

As aforementioned, this betting system has netted $100 bettors roughly $525 per year since 2005. But while today might be the day to cash in, keep in mind that this betting algorithm applies to roughly 115 MLB games per year.

That 8% ROI only occurs after a long sample size.

So be sure to check our MLB PRO Betting System picks each day in order to maximize that 8% ROI by betting every game in the system.

In regards to the algorithm pick, our senior baseball writer Sean Zerillo indicates there's value on the Brewers to win tonight.

The line, according to Zerillo, should be closer to +119. Meanwhile, the best price on the market is with WynnBET at +151.

PRO System Pick: Brewers +1.5 (-115) or better | Brewers +151 or better

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About the Author
Avery Yang is a General Editor at The Action Network and a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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