Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Dodgers Odds | -225 |
Diamondbacks Odds | +180 |
Over/Under | 9.5 |
Time | 4:10 p.m. ET |
TV | MLB.TV |
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. |
Los Angeles has continued to torment Arizona in the early going of the 2022 Major League Baseball campaign and will take the field Sunday looking for a 4-0 series sweep in the latest showdown.
The Dodgers will send Tyler Anderson to the mound for the contest. Anderson has been tremendous throughout 43.2 innings pitched, with a 3.30 era and 5-0 record.
Arizona will counter with Zach Davies, who has struggled mightily in each of his last two starts, allowing nine earned runs in 7 1/3 innings of work.
At 32-14 overall, the Dodgers have won all but four games by two or more runs, and have played to a league best run differential of +117. Could this matchup offer another big Los Angeles win? Let's take a look at this contest.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles powerhouse bats will be seeing Davies for the third time this season, and this appears to be a nightmare matchup for the pitcher.
In each of the previous two matchups against Davies, Los Angeles has hit him hard, managing five earned runs through four innings on May 18, as well as three earned runs throughout four innings on April 26.
That's no surprise seeing as the Dodgers have been the most productive lineup in the league versus right-handed pitching. Los Angeles enters this game having played to a 127 wRC+ and a .349 woba against righties.
The Dodgers have also been the league's second-best team versus the changeup, with a 14.7 wCH, and have a wFB value of 13.8. This potent order will always see a heavy dose of each of those pitches against Davies, and surely that has worked in the Dodgers favor in the previous matchups.
Anderson has been surprisingly effective and his 3.56 xERA — plus sterling record — have certainly helped Los Angeles cope with Clayton Kershaw's injury setback.
Anderson pitched against the Diamondbacks two weeks ago, allowing just two earned runs over seven innings, while striking out seven batters.
On the season, Anderson has struck out 24.1% of batters faced, while holding just a 2.9% walk-rate. He's offering up some hard hits, but that excellent K/BB ratio certainly goes a long ways to allowing him to still post excellent play despite that fact.
Arizona Diamondbacks
It's no secret the Diamondbacks starter for this game is in the midst of some personal turmoil, which seems to be leaking in to his play on the field.
Davies has had disastrous results over his last two outings, allowing nine earned runs throughout seven innings. His xERA has ballooned to 4.39, and as outlined this tough matchup could be coming at the exact wrong time for a pitcher who has been out of form.
Contrarily, Anderson could certainly be looking at a far better than average matchup. The Diamondbacks hold a 30th worst wRC+ rating of 74 against left-handed pitching, as well as a .277 woba this season.
Dodgers-Diamondbacks Pick
It's easy to see why this elite Los Angeles lineup will cause a lot of problems for Davies again, and should be getting into Arizona's soft bullpen within five to six innings with some runs already up on the board.
Anderson has offered up some really strong play, so I believe we should see the big lefty take advantage of this soft matchup once again.
The Dodgers are holding some significant edges in this contest. That said, I believe they should win this game by two or more runs often enough that we have value backing them to cover the -1.5 spread at -140 odds.
Pick: Los Angeles -1.5 (-140 | Play to -145)